Yes position
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $391.14
- Potential payout
- $1.53K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$8.2
Polymarket Trader
Dolly22
0x5b4d449335b79afbbecae9be20543fd9fa5f2adb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.18K
- Realized PnL
- $565.68
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Current value
- $61.89
- Potential payout
- $615.83
- Potential profit
- $553.94
- Multiplier
- 9.95x
- User PnL
- -$14.71
Yes position
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.7%
- Current value
- $182.6
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $217.39
- Multiplier
- 2.19x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.3%
- Current value
- $65.79
- Potential payout
- $360.52
- Potential profit
- $294.72
- Multiplier
- 5.48x
- User PnL
- $2.84
Yes position
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $196.87
- Potential payout
- $260.75
- Potential profit
- $63.88
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.4%
- Current value
- $14.84
- Potential payout
- $158.73
- Potential profit
- $143.89
- Multiplier
- 10.70x
- User PnL
- -$5.16
No position
Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $154.95
- Potential payout
- $155.18
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- User PnL
- $127.18
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.8%
- Current value
- $34.24
- Potential payout
- $104.56
- Potential profit
- $70.32
- Multiplier
- 3.05x
- User PnL
- $14.24
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $24
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $76.01
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- $0.76
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $34.58
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $48.75
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $3.55
Yes position
Will Discord’s market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $15.27
- Potential payout
- $71
- Potential profit
- $55.74
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $0.36
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.63
- Potential profit
- $1.63
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 29%
- Current value
- $0.41
- Potential payout
- $1.4
- Potential profit
- $0.99
- Multiplier
- 3.45x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.09
- Potential profit
- $1.09
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $262.68
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $207.04
No position
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.97
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.14
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.11
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.99
Yes position
Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.72
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.47
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.32
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.66
No position
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 83%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $5B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 17%
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will Discord’s market cap be between $8B and $11B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $0.37
Yes position
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Fuse launch a token by March 31, 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 53%
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Will Prime Intellect launch a token by March 31, 2027?
Ends Apr 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will OnRe launch a token by March 31, 2027?
Ends Apr 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 30%
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by December 31, 2026?Yes 54% 69.58 shares
- Will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by December 31, 2026?Yes 58% 56.22 shares
- Will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by December 31, 2026?Yes 59% 12.76 shares
- Will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1 of the Bulk Drug Substances List by December 31, 2026?Yes 59% 7.24 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 8% 599.97 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 20.4% 940.02 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 20.5% 5.56 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.7% 125 shares
- Will Prime Intellect launch a token by March 31, 2027?Yes 31% 17.42 shares
- Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes 84.1% 59.35 shares
- Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes 84.5% 150 shares
- Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes 84.6% 50 shares