Polymarket Trader

Ty564r

0x5b5e047ddd5e553cbaee58730e39f9801de130d3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $847.28
Realized PnL: $713.77
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $805.36
Potential profit: $805.36
User PnL: -$9

No position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $430.73
Potential payout: $457.01
Potential profit: $26.28
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $19.8

No position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $229.8
Potential profit: $229.8
User PnL: -$194.73

No position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $165.76
Potential payout: $227.07
Potential profit: $61.31
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: -$1.24

No position

Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $109.41
Potential payout: $112.34
Potential profit: $2.92
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $5.71

Yes position

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $57.55
Potential payout: $95.13
Potential profit: $37.58
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: -$2.31

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $74.39
Potential payout: $78.72
Potential profit: $4.33
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.39

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.09
Potential profit: $54.09
User PnL: -$47.54

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.27
Potential payout: $26.57
Potential profit: $26.31
Multiplier: 100.00x
User PnL: -$7.23

No position

Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$15.4

No position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $9.1
Potential payout: $14
Potential profit: $4.9
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: -$1.54

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $13.27
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$0.93

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $210.14

No position

Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.45

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.25

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $46.69

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.8

No position

Will Trump praise Allah again by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.2

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.61

No position

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.54

No position

Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.23

No position

Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.81

Yes position

Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.63

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.27

No position

Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $13.6

No position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $13.21

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.86

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.04

No position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.54

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.79

No position

Iran leadership change by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.97

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.54

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.93

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.71

No position

Iran leadership change by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.1

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.84

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?

No 86.1% 58.07 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?

No 86.2% 58 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?

No 86.2% 23.2 shares
Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?

No 95% 103.69 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 30?

No 86.3% 23.17 shares
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

Yes 61% 95.11 shares
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

Yes 61% 10 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 94% 78.72 shares
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

Yes 62.9% 100.24 shares
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

Yes 63% 100 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

No 73% 71.23 shares
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

No 75% 60 shares