Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $11.16K
- Potential payout
- $439.3K
- Potential profit
- $428.14K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$158.59
Polymarket Trader
neutralwave23
0x5b6331e7ff0831a3fe2ed12004747db1a9c911a4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $195.86K
- Realized PnL
- $935.14K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 50
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $43.06K
- Potential payout
- $412.06K
- Potential profit
- $369K
- Multiplier
- 9.57x
- User PnL
- $1.25K
No position
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $351.86K
- Potential profit
- $351.86K
- User PnL
- -$351.86
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $2.4K
- Potential payout
- $320.14K
- Potential profit
- $317.74K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$480.21
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300.62K
- Potential profit
- $300.62K
- User PnL
- -$3.56K
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $374.78
- Potential payout
- $249.85K
- Potential profit
- $249.48K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.12K
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $285.72
- Potential payout
- $190.48K
- Potential profit
- $190.2K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$2.06K
No position
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $174.3K
- Potential profit
- $174.3K
- User PnL
- -$4.06K
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $170.7K
- Potential profit
- $170.7K
- User PnL
- -$1.22K
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.85K
- Potential profit
- $166.85K
- User PnL
- -$386.42
No position
Trump kiss by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.81K
- Potential profit
- $142.81K
- User PnL
- -$151.09
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $136.73K
- Potential profit
- $136.73K
- User PnL
- -$1.37K
Yes position
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $327.23
- Potential payout
- $130.89K
- Potential profit
- $130.57K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$196.34
Yes position
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $568.09
- Potential payout
- $126.24K
- Potential profit
- $125.67K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$857.95
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123.85K
- Potential profit
- $123.85K
- User PnL
- -$220.07
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $6.82K
- Potential payout
- $120.72K
- Potential profit
- $113.9K
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $164.66
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $59.37
- Potential payout
- $118.74K
- Potential profit
- $118.68K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$618.29
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $21.84K
- Potential payout
- $118.4K
- Potential profit
- $96.55K
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $2.52K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $108.42K
- Potential profit
- $108.42K
- User PnL
- -$1.76K
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $1.77K
- Potential payout
- $106.99K
- Potential profit
- $105.23K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$276.15
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $6.57K
- Potential payout
- $98.75K
- Potential profit
- $92.18K
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$1.74K
Yes position
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $340.3
- Potential payout
- $97.23K
- Potential profit
- $96.89K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- $31.89
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.2%
- Current value
- $9.82K
- Potential payout
- $96.72K
- Potential profit
- $86.9K
- Multiplier
- 9.85x
- User PnL
- $11.8
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $4.25K
- Potential payout
- $95.51K
- Potential profit
- $91.26K
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.97K
- Potential profit
- $90.97K
- User PnL
- -$340.6
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $72.98K
- Potential payout
- $81.54K
- Potential profit
- $8.56K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $15.21K
Yes position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80.66K
- Potential profit
- $80.66K
- User PnL
- -$245.22
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.84K
- Potential profit
- $74.84K
- User PnL
- -$74.84
No position
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.59K
- Potential profit
- $74.59K
- User PnL
- -$74.59
Yes position
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $1.69K
- Potential payout
- $71.8K
- Potential profit
- $70.11K
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $453.04
San Diego Padres position
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.94K
- Potential profit
- $66.94K
- User PnL
- -$8.62K
Yes position
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $163.97
- Potential payout
- $65.59K
- Potential profit
- $65.42K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$204.7
No position
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.43K
- Potential profit
- $65.43K
- User PnL
- -$140.14
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.63K
- Potential profit
- $62.63K
- User PnL
- -$102.96
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.11K
- Potential profit
- $61.11K
- User PnL
- -$20.51K
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.07K
- Potential profit
- $61.07K
- User PnL
- -$457.97
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.99K
- Potential profit
- $58.99K
- User PnL
- -$144.88
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.13K
- Potential profit
- $57.13K
- User PnL
- -$58.73
Yes position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.79K
- Potential profit
- $56.79K
- User PnL
- -$117.5
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.3%
- Current value
- $7.48K
- Potential payout
- $56.45K
- Potential profit
- $48.97K
- Multiplier
- 7.55x
- User PnL
- -$1.67K
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $27.82
- Potential payout
- $55.65K
- Potential profit
- $55.62K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$48.69
Yes position
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $818.22
- Potential payout
- $52.79K
- Potential profit
- $51.97K
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$128.38
Yes position
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $25.39
- Potential payout
- $50.78K
- Potential profit
- $50.75K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$76.16
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.6K
- Potential profit
- $50.6K
- User PnL
- -$300.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 23?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.58K
- Potential profit
- $50.58K
- User PnL
- -$59.64
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $24.94
- Potential payout
- $49.88K
- Potential profit
- $49.85K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$74.81
Yes position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.71K
- Potential profit
- $49.71K
- User PnL
- -$381.84
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $1.24K
- Potential payout
- $48.65K
- Potential profit
- $47.41K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$9.19
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $700.49
- Potential payout
- $48.31K
- Potential profit
- $47.61K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $41.5
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $1.08K
- Potential payout
- $47.85K
- Potential profit
- $46.78K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $362.98
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.3K
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.15K
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Rockets
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.05K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.27K
Los Angeles Dodgers position
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.5K
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.33K
Los Angeles Dodgers position
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.7K
Atlanta Braves position
Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Braves
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.48K
Frances Tiafoe position
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $20.16K
Yes position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.63K
Tampa Bay Rays position
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.15K
No position
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.15K
Knicks position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.43K
Lakers position
Rockets vs. Lakers
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.41K
Rajasthan Royals position
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.44K
Joao Fonseca position
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.33K
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.93K
Chicago Cubs position
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.82K
New York Yankees position
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.84K
Sean Strickland position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.65K
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.77K
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Spurs
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.64K
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.43K
Matteo Arnaldi position
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $11.21K
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.94K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.63K
Warriors position
Warriors vs. Clippers
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.02K
Rajasthan Royals position
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.61K
Over position
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.4K
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.19K
Flavio Cobolli position
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.02K
Timberwolves position
Timberwolves vs. Spurs
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.92K
Knicks position
Cavaliers vs. Knicks
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.54K
Washington Nationals position
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.53K
Timberwolves position
Spurs vs. Timberwolves
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.45K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.16K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.95K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.87K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.84K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.66K
Miami Marlins position
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.47K
Cavaliers position
Cavaliers vs. Pistons
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.45K
Chicago Cubs position
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.22K
Timberwolves position
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.18K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.05K
Raptors position
Cavaliers vs. Raptors
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.05K
Raptors position
Cavaliers vs. Raptors
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.95K
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Spurs
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.82K
Ignacio Buse position
Hamburg European Open: Ignacio Buse vs Jakub Mensik
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.8K
Spurs position
Thunder vs. Spurs
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETUp 57% 32.37 shares
- Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?Yes 18% 92.67 shares
- Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?Yes 90% 32.98 shares
- Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?Yes 0.5% 867.72 shares
- XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETUp 8% 55.75 shares
- Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?Yes 28% 16.57 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETUp 8.7% 51.43 shares
- Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?Yes 10% 46.1 shares
- Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETUp 4% 111.25 shares
- BNB Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETUp 5.8% 76.63 shares
- Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?Yes 89% 298.9 shares
- Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETUp 7.9% 56.38 shares