Polymarket Trader

0x5b69...1d7b

0x5b6958661a911910de9a22eb0bb89e46f31e1d7b

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: -$2
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 21
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $366.67
Potential profit: $366.67
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $251
Potential profit: $251
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.99
Potential profit: $25.99
User PnL: -$0.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.27
Potential profit: $14.27
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Dogecoin Up or Down - March 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.38
Potential profit: $4.38
User PnL: -$1.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.83
Potential profit: $2.83
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54
Potential profit: $1.54
User PnL: -$0.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.41
Potential profit: $1.41
User PnL: -$0.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.26
Potential profit: $1.26
User PnL: -$0.99

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

Yes position

Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7.8%
Multiplier: 12.90x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.2%
Multiplier: 10.93x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Multiplier: 4.85x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2027

Implied probability: 36.5%
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 86.2%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$1.19

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.6% 62.5 shares
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 6.6% 15.15 shares
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Yes 88% 1.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Up 88% 1.13 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 24.2% 4.13 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Down 69% 1.43 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Up 60% 1.64 shares
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

Yes 17% 6.88 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Down 79% 1.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Up 70% 1.41 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Down 95% 1.05 shares
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Yes 22% 4.55 shares