Yes position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $4.66K
- Potential payout
- $282.13K
- Potential profit
- $277.48K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$962.35
Polymarket Trader
PapyChampi
0x5b721da0811d071808f129537b7052b819b8bedd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.16K
- Realized PnL
- $2.58K
- Win rate
- 64.7%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $498.28
- Potential payout
- $66.44K
- Potential profit
- $65.94K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$33.22
Yes position
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $461.86
- Potential payout
- $36.95K
- Potential profit
- $36.49K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$104.19
Yes position
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $743.03
- Potential payout
- $22.18K
- Potential profit
- $21.44K
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- $238.48
Yes position
Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $2.17K
- Potential payout
- $17.38K
- Potential profit
- $15.21K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $733.96
Yes position
Will Parti libéral du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $2.79K
- Potential payout
- $11.63K
- Potential profit
- $8.84K
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.9%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $10.34K
- Potential profit
- $9.33K
- Multiplier
- 10.15x
- User PnL
- $453.08
No position
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.24K
- Potential profit
- $10.24K
- User PnL
- -$153.61
Yes position
Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.83K
- Potential profit
- $5.83K
- User PnL
- -$997.06
No position
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.78K
- Potential profit
- $4.78K
- User PnL
- -$1.21K
Yes position
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $226.36
- Potential payout
- $4.4K
- Potential profit
- $4.17K
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- $79.08
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.7%
- Current value
- $513.2
- Potential payout
- $3.28K
- Potential profit
- $2.77K
- Multiplier
- 6.39x
- User PnL
- $117.17
Yes position
Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.8K
- Potential profit
- $2.8K
- User PnL
- -$488.95
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $989.97
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $90.12
- Potential payout
- $819.28
- Potential profit
- $729.16
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- $90.12
No position
Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $460.35
- Potential profit
- $460.35
- User PnL
- -$83.62
No position
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $254.12
- Potential profit
- $254.12
- User PnL
- -$60.99
Yes position
Will Charles Milliard be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $0.52
- Potential payout
- $2.2
- Potential profit
- $1.68
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $775.73
Yes position
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $640
No position
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $610
No position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $489.53
No position
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175
No position
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.17
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.68
No position
Will Éric Duhaime be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $3.64
No position
Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.34
No position
Will Ruba Ghazal be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Sol Zanetti be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 75.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 24.3%
- Multiplier
- 4.12x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$116.52
Yes position
Will Québec solidaire win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$120.64
Yes position
Will Parti vert du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$120.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes 20.2% 780.98 shares
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 5.5% 8,756.37 shares
- Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes 3.5% 799.15 shares
- Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?No 35.6% 2,009.51 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No 97.6% 143.75 shares
- Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes 10% 200 shares
- Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?No 24% 131.42 shares
- Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?No 22% 963.54 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?No 22% 143.75 shares
- Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?No 35.7% 680.35 shares
- Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes 11.1% 1,788.92 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 12.1% 3,279.23 shares