Polymarket Trader

NX143

0x5b736db0d74083948a2675fcd03498ddddb84766

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $439.73
Realized PnL: $9.76K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $26.03
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.77K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$22.44

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.26K
User PnL: -$100.5

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $110.59
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$135.16

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $901.51
Potential profit: $901.51
User PnL: -$98.86

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $750
User PnL: -$90

Yes position

Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $689.98
Potential profit: $689.98
User PnL: -$115.4

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $525.45
Potential profit: $525.45
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $441.21
Potential profit: $441.21
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Diddy in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$48

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $384.62
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $371.99
Potential profit: $371.99
User PnL: -$25

No position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $303.11
Potential payout: $303.11
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $117.69

Yes position

Bird flu pandemic before August 2025?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $182.03
Potential profit: $182.03
User PnL: -$111.04

Yes position

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $18
User PnL: -$3.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will there be a US Government shutdown?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.75K

No position

Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72K

Yes position

TikTok removed from App Store by Monday?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

Yes position

Trump imposes 100% tariff on China before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $745.51

Yes position

Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $486.43

Yes position

Will Harris lead by 0.5-0.9 points on August 9?

Ends Aug 9, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $433.33

No position

Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $386.53

Yes position

Will Trump pardon George Santos in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $344.04

Yes position

Will Kamala lead by by 1.5-1.9 August 23?

Ends Aug 23, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $307.99

Yes position

Will Russia pull out of Syria before April 2025?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $296.52

Yes position

Israel military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $293.79

Yes position

Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $268.73

Yes position

Trump deportation executive order on Day 1?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.65

Yes position

Trump imposes 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.38

No position

Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.97

No position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.1

Yes position

Will 3+ Trump cabinet picks fail to get appointed?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.99

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.52

No position

TikTok on the App Store again by Monday?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.87

Yes position

Will Kamala lead by 2-2.4 August 30?

Ends Aug 30, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $89.05

No position

Trump pauses any reciprocal tariff before Wednesday?

Ends Apr 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.8

Yes position

China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?

Ends Aug 11, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $78.75

No position

Donald & Melania Trump seen together in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.98

Yes position

Assad out as President of Syria by March 31, 2025?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.37

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

No 61.2% 254.6 shares
US recession in 2025?

Yes 4.2% 3,720.55 shares
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

No 61% 48.51 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

No 11.8% 250 shares
Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?

Yes 8% 1,256.25 shares
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?

Yes 14.1% 714.28 shares
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Yes 61% 18.1 shares
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?

Yes 14% 714.29 shares
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?

Yes 61% 163.93 shares
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Yes 52% 192.31 shares
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Yes 52% 192.31 shares
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?

Yes 22% 250 shares