Polymarket Trader

0x5B989f6Afa0779C7C38EdF339A42Af3dBcd83dCc-1764085358309

0x5b989f6afa0779c7c38edf339a42af3dbcd83dcc

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $29.96
Realized PnL: $119.66
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.71K
Potential profit: $1.71K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $4.4
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $35.6
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$4.4

No position

Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.42
Potential profit: $33.42
User PnL: -$7.93

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.14
Potential payout: $31.74
Potential profit: $31.6
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.87

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.78
Potential payout: $31.74
Potential profit: $30.96
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $25.27
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.63

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 78.6%
Current value: $18.33
Potential payout: $23.33
Potential profit: $5
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $22.47
Potential profit: $21.52
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $15.87
Potential profit: $15.55
Multiplier: 50.00x
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.76
Potential profit: $15.76
User PnL: -$11.12

No position

Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.83
Potential profit: $14.83
User PnL: -$1.56

No position

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.08
Potential profit: $14.08
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $12.9
Potential profit: $11.98
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $12.19
Potential profit: $12.07
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$1.03

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $9.09
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.72
Potential profit: $8.72
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $1.29
Potential payout: $8.33
Potential profit: $7.04
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $5.72
Potential profit: $5.69
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $5.13
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$0.92

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.07
Potential profit: $5.07
User PnL: -$3.5

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.06
Potential profit: $5.06
User PnL: -$4.15

No position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 48%
Current value: $2.18
Potential payout: $4.54
Potential profit: $2.36
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: $1.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.51

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 29?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.67

Baltimore Orioles position

Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.41

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 27?

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.26

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.08

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Magic position

Hornets vs. Magic

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.17

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 19?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.71

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.79

Harriet Dart position

HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonova

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $1.48

Yes position

Will Trump say "Jew" or "Jewish" 10+ times during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.26

Connecticut Sun position

Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2

Connecticut Sun position

Spread: New York Liberty (-12.5)

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Mattia Bellucci position

Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Bellucci

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Will Estonia vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

Yes position

Will April McClain Delaney be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $0.87

Yes position

Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

Magda Linette position

Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrell

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

Philadelphia Phillies position

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Yes 69% 2.89 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Yes 73% 2.73 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Yes 73% 1.36 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Yes 74% 1.36 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Yes 74% 2.75 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Yes 67% 1.53 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Yes 66% 1.61 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Yes 66% 1.53 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 99.5% 4.34 shares
Will April McClain Delaney be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?

Yes 92% 0.4 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 95% 1.06 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 95% 2.12 shares