No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $432.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $67.5
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$19.5
Polymarket Trader
latvianboy
0x5bae91266d6582314d3ce97e0d17896611ca2955
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.36K
- Realized PnL
- $462.82
- Win rate
- 68.8%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $399.48
- Potential payout
- $436.59
- Potential profit
- $37.11
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $11.78
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $102
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $298
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$18
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $399.6
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $0.4
- User PnL
- $10.1
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $342.71
- Potential payout
- $342.88
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- User PnL
- $7.62
No position
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $260.54
- Potential payout
- $296.07
- Potential profit
- $35.53
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $4.54
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $187.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $12.1
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $17.05
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $92.95
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$4.05
Yes position
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $28
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $72
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
Ends Jul 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $51.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $48.5
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- -$20.5
Yes position
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $39
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $61
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $25.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $24.75
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$17
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$36.5
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $43.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $6.75
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$3.25
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $29.45
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.59
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.4
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.59
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.5
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$1.52
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Yes 16% 60 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes 24% 100 shares
- Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?No 89% 146.07 shares
- Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No 91% 50 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 93% 50 shares
- Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Yes 38% 100 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No 92% 100 shares
- Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 33% 100 shares
- Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes 79% 50 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes 32% 300 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Yes 23% 50 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes 48% 50 shares