Polymarket Trader

dairee1

0x5bb5bc415dfb12308eb4e99b6918b807c4c78ab9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $147.54
Realized PnL: $1.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $138.09
Potential payout: $1.62K
Potential profit: $1.49K
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$24.37

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $9.45
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $890.55
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$20.25

Yes position

Starmer out by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $566.76
Potential profit: $566.76
User PnL: -$6.25

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $550.31
Potential profit: $550.31
User PnL: -$48.55

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $276.76
Potential profit: $276.76
User PnL: -$45.33

No position

Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$30

No position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $197.47
Potential profit: $197.47
User PnL: -$35.49

Yes position

Will Trump say "Discombobulator" or "Discombobulated" in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $174.91
Potential profit: $174.91
User PnL: -$163.39

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Northern Ireland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.44
Potential profit: $86.44
User PnL: -$64.8

No position

Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.84
Potential profit: $74.84
User PnL: -$22.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $433.41

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 8?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $137.82

Yes position

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.93

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.81

Yes position

Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.39

Yes position

Will the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell be dropped by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.46

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36.9

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.42

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.39

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.21

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.46

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Oil" or "Gas" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.2

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.04

Yes position

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.23

Yes position

Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.12

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 7.3%
Multiplier: 13.70x
User PnL: $14.85

Yes position

Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: $13.79

Yes position

Will Artemis II launch by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.79

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.24

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.38

Yes position

Weed rescheduled by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: $11

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.85

Yes position

Will Trump say "Women's Sports" during National Agriculture Day events?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.32

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 21.2% 391.67 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Yes 3.3% 900 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 17.4% 391.67 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

No 74.6% 0.39 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

No 74.9% 672 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

No 15% 169.52 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

No 12.7% 53.51 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

No 11.4% 449.36 shares
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

No 71% 9.72 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

No 25.6% 199.99 shares
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?

No 30% 74.84 shares
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?

No 15% 200 shares