Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $1.89K
- Potential payout
- $82.35K
- Potential profit
- $80.46K
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- $1.7K
Polymarket Trader
0x5bb7...6f64
0x5bb720b9f3e878c100fa905f5a9d5bf17af96f64
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $2.33K
- Realized PnL
- $8.84K
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 18, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.08K
- Potential profit
- $14.08K
- User PnL
- -$14.08
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $284.17
- Potential payout
- $10.33K
- Potential profit
- $10.05K
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $268.18
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $55.65
- Potential payout
- $10.12K
- Potential profit
- $10.06K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$45.64
Yes position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25K
- Potential profit
- $6.25K
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.15K
- Potential profit
- $3.15K
- User PnL
- -$103.34
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.39K
- Potential profit
- $2.39K
- User PnL
- -$35.11
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $49.34
- Potential payout
- $2.06K
- Potential profit
- $2.01K
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- -$50.66
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $48.41
- Potential payout
- $1.61K
- Potential profit
- $1.57K
- Multiplier
- 33.33x
- User PnL
- -$19.71
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.26K
- Potential profit
- $1.26K
- User PnL
- -$163.4
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$27
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 20, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $965
- Potential profit
- $965
- User PnL
- -$1.93
Yes position
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $623.28
- Potential profit
- $623.28
- User PnL
- -$54.34
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$35
Yes position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $375
- Potential profit
- $375
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $309.22
- Potential profit
- $309.22
- User PnL
- -$25.21
Yes position
Will Tisza win 80–89 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $257.26
- Potential profit
- $257.26
- User PnL
- -$13.31
Yes position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $217.39
- Potential profit
- $217.39
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $213.95
- Potential profit
- $213.95
- User PnL
- -$18.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $148.33
- Potential profit
- $148.33
- User PnL
- -$3.59
Yes position
Netanyahu out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $110
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.4%
- Multiplier
- 3.79x
- User PnL
- $5.22K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $345.77
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $93.22
Yes position
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.5
Yes position
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.04
Y
Yes position
Will Donald Trump attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- $15.96
Yes position
Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.54
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.98
Yes position
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.78
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.3%
- Multiplier
- 13.79x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 1000.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.86
Yes position
Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Multiplier
- 33.33x
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.76
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.47
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$23.93
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?Yes 0.6% 1,295.21 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?Yes 0.4% 676.26 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?Yes 0.8% 397.99 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?Yes 0.6% 1,153.94 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?Yes 0.6% 333.33 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.1% 391.6 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?Yes 0.5% 3,000 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?Yes 0.6% 166.67 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?Yes 0.5% 1,451.87 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?Yes 0.4% 539.3 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?Yes 0.7% 528.57 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?Yes 0.6% 463.98 shares