Polymarket Trader

Badgery

0x5bc1242f3bb3f4f4f00b603ef6678431d4892dc9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.29K
Realized PnL: $53.86K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $370.74
Potential payout: $2.18K
Potential profit: $1.81K
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$454.74

No position

Blue tsunami in 2026?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 59%
Current value: $820.35
Potential payout: $1.39K
Potential profit: $570.07
Multiplier: 1.69x
User PnL: -$36.43

Yes position

Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $1.1K
Potential payout: $1.27K
Potential profit: $165.07
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: -$35.04

No position

Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 88.8%
Current value: $759.74
Potential payout: $855.56
Potential profit: $95.82
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $81.43

Yes position

Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $188.66
Potential payout: $686.03
Potential profit: $497.37
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $22.26

No position

Will Reya launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $625.67
Potential payout: $633.27
Potential profit: $7.6
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $36.67

No position

Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $445.92
Potential payout: $479.48
Potential profit: $33.56
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $59.14

No position

Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $432.07
Potential payout: $459.9
Potential profit: $27.82
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $32.07

No position

Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.7%
Current value: $403.63
Potential payout: $426.22
Potential profit: $22.59
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $3.63

Yes position

Reya FDV above $70M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $217.26
Potential payout: $342.14
Potential profit: $124.88
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $43.15

No position

Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $249.89
Potential payout: $328.8
Potential profit: $78.91
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$23.98

No position

Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $247.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $52.5
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $10.5

No position

Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $237.89
Potential payout: $259.99
Potential profit: $22.1
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $9.2

No position

Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.27
Potential profit: $129.27
User PnL: -$106

Yes position

Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $81.15
Potential payout: $121.13
Potential profit: $39.97
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: -$3.63

No position

Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $104.27
Potential payout: $112.12
Potential profit: $7.85
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.11

Novak Djokovic position

Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$32.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022?

Ends Oct 1, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.77K

Yes position

Will the Ethereum 2.0 Genesis Event happen successfully on December 1st, 2020?

Ends Dec 2, 2020

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.51K

No position

Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by June 1, 2022?

Ends Jun 1, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.63K

No position

Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022?

Ends Sep 1, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.97K

No position

Will $BTC break $20k before Thanksgiving?

Ends Nov 26, 2020

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.85K

No position

Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election?

Ends Nov 20, 2020

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25K

Yes position

Will Liverpool beat Leicester City in their Matchday 9 game?

Ends Nov 23, 2020

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.23K

Long position

What will the fully diluted market cap of dYdX's token be 1 week after it starts trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86K

Long position

What will the price of Bitcoin be on November 4th, 2020?

Ends Nov 4, 2020

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.71K

Decentraland position

Will The Sandbox or Decentraland have a higher floor price on March 1st, 2022?

Ends Mar 1, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55K

Yes position

Will a new Supreme Court Justice be confirmed before Nov 3rd, 2020?

Ends Nov 4, 2020

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.55K

No position

Will ETH be above $2000 on March 1st, 2021?

Ends Mar 1, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45K

Bored Apes position

Will Bored Apes or CryptoPunks have a higher floor price on March 1st, 2022?

Ends Mar 1, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41K

No position

Will ETH be above $2000 on April 1st, 2021?

Ends Apr 1, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36K

Yes position

Will BTC break $15k before 2021?

Ends Jan 1, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.35K

Yes position

Will Airbnb begin publicly trading before Jan 1, 2021?

Ends Jan 2, 2021

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.03K

No position

Will Donald Trump formally concede the 2020 US Election before December 1st, 2020?

Ends Dec 1, 2020

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.02K

No position

Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be below 42 ETH on 4/20/22?

Ends Apr 20, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $995.91

Republican position

Which party will win Texas in the 2020 presidential election?

Ends Nov 20, 2020

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $924.02

No position

Will Sushiswap have more TVL than Uniswap at any time before November 24th, according to DefiPulse?

Ends Nov 24, 2020

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $741.12

Yes position

Will the price of $ETH be above $2,600 on March 24, 2022?

Ends Mar 24, 2022

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $722

Yes position

Ethena airdrop by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $695.73

Yes position

Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021?

Ends Jan 20, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $646.43

No position

Will ETH be above $1,500 on January 27th?

Ends Jan 28, 2021

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $634.86

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Yes 74% 39.96 shares
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026?

No 76% 62.34 shares
Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2027?

Yes 86% 100.19 shares
Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Yes 75% 17.1 shares
Will Reya launch a token by June 30, 2026?

No 94.6% 264.32 shares
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?

No 90% 400 shares
Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Yes 76% 40 shares
Will Reya launch a token by June 30, 2026?

No 93% 268.95 shares
Will Phantom launch a token by June 30, 2026?

No 98.8% 254.23 shares
Will Reya launch a token by December 31, 2026?

Yes 70% 218.19 shares
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 31% 149.83 shares
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?

Yes 22.4% 536.2 shares