Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.7%
- Current value
- $174.86
- Potential payout
- $846.79
- Potential profit
- $671.93
- Multiplier
- 4.84x
- User PnL
- $0.42
Polymarket Trader
0x5bc8...567d
0x5bc8a431496674a406091d3d9004f63c9e78567d
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $744.13
- Realized PnL
- -$67.92
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.8%
- Current value
- $569.27
- Potential payout
- $679.32
- Potential profit
- $110.05
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $20.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.2%
- Multiplier
- 6.17x
- User PnL
- $28.27
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.9%
- Multiplier
- 5.04x
- User PnL
- $1.88
No position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.7%
- Multiplier
- 8.58x
- User PnL
- -$5.97
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$91.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 19.6% 427.99 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 20.6% 1,274.78 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 15% 20.34 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 97.6% 47.93 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 15.2% 1,165.82 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 15.7% 1,186.16 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 97.4% 199.55 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 18% 590.86 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 59.3% 300.57 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 64.1% 248.1 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes 78.2% 858.19 shares
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?Yes 84% 539.04 shares