Yes position
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $31.51
- Potential payout
- $9K
- Potential profit
- $8.97K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Polymarket Trader
livelives
0x5bdd080ae9d00d08235efffe32b80cfc14cb7b4d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $237.38
- Realized PnL
- -$5.27
- Win rate
- 70%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the New York Jets win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.21K
- Potential profit
- $7.21K
- User PnL
- -$36.04
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.54K
- Potential profit
- $4.54K
- User PnL
- -$70.55
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $112.53
- Potential payout
- $113.1
- Potential profit
- $0.57
- User PnL
- $0
No position
JD Vance out as VP by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $93.33
- Potential payout
- $102
- Potential profit
- $8.67
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $147.9
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.79
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.66
No position
Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.82
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
Thunder position
Nets vs. Thunder
Ends Jan 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will AZ Alkmaar win the UEFA Europa League?
Ends May 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Sauber be the 2025 Constructors Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will another team win the Serie A?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.2
Yes position
Will Girona FC win La Liga?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.32
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.46
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$147.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes 0.4% 9,004 shares
- JD Vance out as VP by December 31?No 92% 102 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June?No 99.5% 113.1 shares
- Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?No 99.6% 211 shares
- Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?No 99.4% 211 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 0.3% 9,232 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes 0.5% 9,232 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No 99.8% 101 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?No 99.7% 118 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No 99.3% 300 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 0.9% 300 shares
- Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026?No 95.4% 104.82 shares