Polymarket Trader

TogawaSakiko214

0x5bf7e798eb15c19c9dbcbe678cfc0ba787316b55

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.31
Realized PnL: $11.59
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.3%
Current value: $4.21
Potential payout: $4.61
Potential profit: $0.4
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $1.31
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $1.92
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $1.11
Potential payout: $3.03
Potential profit: $1.92
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $0.11

Algeria position

Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.99
Potential profit: $2.99
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $1.69
Potential payout: $2.52
Potential profit: $0.83
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: -$0.31

United States position

United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $2
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Morocco position

Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Croatia position

Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.89

No position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Brazil position

Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

Belgium position

Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.57

Norway position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Mexico position

Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Spain position

Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Morocco position

Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

No position

Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

United States position

United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

Spain position

Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

France position

Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

England position

England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance

United States 50% 2 shares
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance

Spain 67% 1.49 shares
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advance

France 93% 2.15 shares
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance

Croatia 58.8% 3.22 shares
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance

Algeria 33.5% 2.99 shares
Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance

Spain 86.5% 1.16 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Argentina 91% 1.1 shares
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Yes 31% 3.23 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

No 33% 3.03 shares
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance

United States 83% 1.2 shares
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance

Croatia 31% 3.23 shares
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance

Belgium 60% 1.67 shares