Polymarket Trader

0x5Bff2c207f1161e8328555ADFDB8F39c003bE08F-1770263456068

0x5bff2c207f1161e8328555adfdb8f39c003be08f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.5
Realized PnL: $687.61
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285K
Potential profit: $285K
User PnL: -$299.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.85K
Potential profit: $2.85K
User PnL: -$5.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.3K
Potential profit: $2.3K
User PnL: -$4.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.15K
Potential profit: $2.15K
User PnL: -$10.61

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.69K
Potential profit: $1.69K
User PnL: -$3.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $1.14K
User PnL: -$11.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $7.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $992.5
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$12.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $84.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.87

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $49.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $46.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $15.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 6.8% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Yes 5.9% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Yes 10% 150 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Yes 1.4% 124.78 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Yes 0.3% 99.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Yes 3.9% 24.41 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Yes 3.9% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Yes 3.5% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Yes 13.5% 150 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Yes 2.9% 52 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Yes 2.9% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Yes 17.1% 150 shares