Polymarket Trader

jinwei122

0x5c04798dec6651dff5bab7da09642fcebdfe6587

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $175.85
Realized PnL: $894.16
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $25.35
Potential payout: $130.01
Potential profit: $104.65
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $10.35

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $4.92
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $75.08
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92%
Current value: $64.53
Potential payout: $70.14
Potential profit: $5.61
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $28.53

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $7.05
Potential payout: $48.63
Potential profit: $41.58
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $1.05

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $6.88
Potential payout: $37.27
Potential profit: $30.39
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $0.88

Under position

Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.36
Potential profit: $36.36
User PnL: -$16

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $4.93
Potential payout: $36.14
Potential profit: $31.21
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$1.07

Under position

Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.96
Potential profit: $33.96
User PnL: -$18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $26.83
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $0.5

Over position

Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.8
Potential profit: $32.8
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $11.94
Potential payout: $31.83
Potential profit: $19.89
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $3.68

Qatar position

Spread: Canada (-1.5)

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.61
Potential profit: $30.61
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$3

Under position

Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.27
Potential profit: $29.27
User PnL: -$12

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $25.61
Potential payout: $28.3
Potential profit: $2.69
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.61

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $18.14
Potential payout: $24.34
Potential profit: $6.21
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.53
Potential profit: $23.53
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.33
Potential profit: $23.33
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$5

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-1.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $22.22
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.99
Potential profit: $21.99
User PnL: -$3

Under position

Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.44
Potential profit: $21.44
User PnL: -$12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.79

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $43.32

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.94

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $35.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.31

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $33.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.62

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.41

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 12.3% 48.63 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 89% 13.48 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

No 74% 8.11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 32% 31.82 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 18% 33.33 shares
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 91% 13.19 shares
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 86% 2.33 shares
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?

Yes 16% 20.57 shares
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 80% 1.25 shares
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 78% 3.85 shares
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 52% 5.77 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 18% 33.33 shares