Polymarket Trader

Fatalist

0x5c08f27559956e9c4fa008c65f79017fe548eba9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.87K
Realized PnL: $11.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $3.83K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $25

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $2.33K
Potential payout: $2.67K
Potential profit: $333.25
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $26.66

NRG position

Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$619.68

Gentle Mates position

Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $1.18K
User PnL: -$471.36

PARIVISION position

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$460

Liquid position

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$384

No position

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $341.07
Potential payout: $341.41
Potential profit: $0.34
User PnL: $6.35

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $251.09
Potential payout: $257.26
Potential profit: $6.17
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $7.09

No position

Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $256.56
Potential profit: $256.56
User PnL: -$182.54

No position

Will Russia capture Prymorske by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $115.39
Potential payout: $116.14
Potential profit: $0.75
User PnL: $5.64

Yes position

Will The MongolZ qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$45

Yes position

Will Trump say "Charlie" or "Kirk" 5+ times during TPUSA events on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $2.86
User PnL: -$1.86

Yes position

Will Trump say "Job" 12+ times during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04
Potential profit: $2.04
User PnL: -$1.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52K

No position

Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during Egypt summit?

Ends Oct 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $844.87

No position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $787.17

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $739.74

No position

Will Trump say "Tariff" 3+ times during Xi events on October 29?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $575.22

Yes position

Will Trump and Robert Fico not shake hands?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $493.91

paiN position

Counter-Strike: paiN vs Gentle Mates (BO3)

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $480

FlyQuest position

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs FlyQuest (BO3)

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $461.5

No position

Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $442.59

No position

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $433.59

No position

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 5+ times during Xi events on October 29?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $418.47

Liquid position

Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Liquid (BO3)

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $392

B8 position

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs B8 (BO3)

Ends Oct 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $384

BetBoom Team position

Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $376

No position

Will Trump say "Pacific" during Australia PM events on October 20?

Ends Oct 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $359.05

No position

Will Donald Trump say "Syria / Syrian" 10+ times during Syria President events on November 10?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $353.86

No position

Will Zohran Mamdani say "Next Mayor" during his victory/concession speech?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $351.43

Yes position

Will Donald or Melania Trump say "Job" 5+ times during executive order signing events on November 13?

Ends Nov 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $340.01

No position

Will Russia capture any territory in Lyman by December 15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $308.1

No position

Will Trump say "Golf" during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?

Ends Oct 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $305.47

No position

Will Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $296.89

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $292.55

Yes position

Will Trump say "Obama" during Address to the Nation?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $284.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by June 30, 2026?

No 94.8% 257.26 shares
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

No 76% 5,000 shares
Will The MongolZ qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?

Yes 45% 100 shares
Will Russia capture Prymorske by June 30, 2026?

No 98.9% 159 shares
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?

No 76% 45 shares
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?

No 94.4% 1,628.64 shares
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?

No 81.7% 273.87 shares
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by June 30?

No 94.7% 48.59 shares
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?

No 97.4% 193.08 shares
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?

No 96.7% 237.89 shares
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?

No 97.3% 491.01 shares
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?

No 97% 213.4 shares