Polymarket Trader

samperle

0x5c121e552296a59ef3e6772eebe1d97c503f3d74

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $88.79
Realized PnL: $699.73
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $767.77
Potential profit: $767.77
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $481.01
Potential profit: $481.01
User PnL: -$28.83

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $52.81
Potential payout: $424.19
Potential profit: $371.38
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: -$3.67

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $415
Potential profit: $415
User PnL: -$94.62

Yes position

José Luís Rodríguez Zapatero arrested by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $260
Potential profit: $260
User PnL: -$10.14

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $234.38
Potential profit: $234.38
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $213.11
Potential profit: $213.11
User PnL: -$55.87

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.01
Potential profit: $200.01
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $161.76
Potential profit: $161.76
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero sentenced to prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $14.4
Potential payout: $160
Potential profit: $145.6
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.5
Potential profit: $147.5
User PnL: -$10

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $146.8
Potential profit: $146.8
User PnL: -$70.67

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$27.5

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.6%
Current value: $21.58
Potential payout: $105
Potential profit: $83.42
Multiplier: 4.87x
User PnL: -$15.17

Yes position

Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98
Potential profit: $98
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.6
Potential profit: $85.6
User PnL: -$40.44

Human position

Will Team Human or Team AI win the Aster trading competition?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.7
Potential profit: $68.7
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.76
Potential profit: $62.76
User PnL: -$55

Yes position

Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.47
Potential profit: $62.47
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.61
Potential profit: $60.61
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.38

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.05

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.63

Yes position

Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.55

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.39

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-08?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.33

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-12-09?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.5

Yes position

Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-04-26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.78

Yes position

Will Girona FC win on 2026-03-14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.29

Yes position

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.7

Yes position

Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.65

Yes position

Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.22

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?

Ends Dec 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-26?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.23

Yes position

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $17.79

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.77

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-11-26?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.03

Yes position

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.87

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.83

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.77

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.71

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.64

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.62

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 8% 12.5 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-30?

No 24% 8.33 shares
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score

Yes 59% 10.17 shares
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score

Yes 50% 14 shares
South Africa vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score

Yes 47% 17.02 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11% 90.91 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-23?

No 21% 9.52 shares
England vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score

Yes 42% 23.81 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.9% 35.97 shares
Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score

Yes 57% 10.53 shares
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score

Yes 47% 10.64 shares
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score

Yes 58% 3.45 shares