No position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $3.74
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $5.27
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Polymarket Trader
0x5c12...2ae2
0x5c127865e05bb885db56e79dae95e148edc02ae2
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $35.43
- Realized PnL
- $0.78
- Win rate
- 42.1%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $4.6
- Potential payout
- $8.15
- Potential profit
- $3.55
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $4.6
- Potential payout
- $8.14
- Potential profit
- $3.54
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $2.13
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $4.87
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $2.9
- Potential payout
- $6.91
- Potential profit
- $4.01
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
No position
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $6.6
- Potential payout
- $6.61
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $4.75
No position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $5.14
- Potential payout
- $6.38
- Potential profit
- $1.24
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $0.97
- Potential payout
- $6.26
- Potential profit
- $5.28
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Y
Yes position
Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 34%-36%?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $1.23
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.77
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $1.46
- Potential payout
- $2.83
- Potential profit
- $1.37
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $2.06
- Potential payout
- $2.53
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
N
No position
Will the biggest blowout win in the 2026 NBA Finals be by 30 or more points?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.06
No position
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8
No position
Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.75 Week of June 22 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.84
No position
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
No position
Will Shivon Zilis be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26
No position
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.26
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.64
Yes position
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $96 Week of June 15 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.69
Yes position
Will Sunshine Silver's market cap be between $2B and $2.25B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.71
Yes position
Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.85
Yes position
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $350 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Yes position
Will Warsh say "All-Time High" or "All-Time Low" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.79
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.94
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.96
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes 30% 7 shares
- Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in June?No 67% 7.36 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?No 78% 6.15 shares
- Netflix (NFLX) Q2 operating margin 34%-36%?Yes 27% 6 shares
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No 79% 6.38 shares
- Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?No 28% 6.61 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes 21% 6 shares
- Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $350 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 30% 7 shares
- Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 Week of July 6 2026?No 72% 6.08 shares
- Will Durable Goods Orders MoM be between -4% and -2% in May?Yes 28% 6.61 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?Yes 61% 8.13 shares
- Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $4.75 Week of June 22 2026?No 45% 8.8 shares