Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $9.12K
- Potential payout
- $107.25K
- Potential profit
- $98.14K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$5.62K
Polymarket Trader
stavr
0x5c22ffa6212e28591ad30e82894c5ef46d74e4db
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.74K
- Realized PnL
- $4K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $79.94
- Potential payout
- $12.3K
- Potential profit
- $12.22K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$465.09
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $16.91
- Potential payout
- $2.6K
- Potential profit
- $2.58K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$40.24
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $166.21
- Potential payout
- $481.91
- Potential profit
- $315.7
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$77.55
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $58
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $341.99
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$14
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $280.05
- Potential payout
- $291.57
- Potential profit
- $11.52
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $24.05
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $2.31
- Potential payout
- $125.01
- Potential profit
- $122.7
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$7.69
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $18.5
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $81.49
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
NATO article 5 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.25
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $2.92
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $1.08
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $261.1
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.25
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.64
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $10.25
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.04
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.49
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Multiplier
- 15.87x
- User PnL
- $1.49
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?No 75% 4 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.8% 375 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No 83% 19.28 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?No 83% 72.29 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?Yes 8% 125 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes 20% 100 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.8% 131.58 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.6% 27.5 shares
- NATO article 5 before 2027?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 6.7% 1,492.54 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.5% 28.57 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.2% 31.25 shares