Yes position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105.11
- Potential profit
- $105.11
- User PnL
- -$2.71
Polymarket Trader
0x5C30FE718d49f3afD34771a357fcf27124629C2c-1719300042109
0x5c30fe718d49f3afd34771a357fcf27124629c2c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $111.93
- Realized PnL
- $223.02
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $47.5
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $52.51
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $11.17
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $38.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $61.5
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$4.99
Yes position
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $2.76
- Potential payout
- $41.45
- Potential profit
- $38.69
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Yes position
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$2.28
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.7%
- Current value
- $3.33
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- Multiplier
- 6.01x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $8.07
- Potential payout
- $15.08
- Potential profit
- $7.01
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $1.13
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $13.2
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Yes position
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.85
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $5.29
- Potential profit
- $5.24
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $0.58
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.43
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.88
Yes position
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $1.68
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.33
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Yes position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.38
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Yes position
Will Juventus finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$3.7
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.93
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.43
Yes position
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $2.55
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.45
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.83
- Potential profit
- $4.83
- User PnL
- -$1.05
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$3,800 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.68
- Potential profit
- $4.68
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Yes position
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.65
- Potential profit
- $4.65
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $1.34
- Potential payout
- $4.54
- Potential profit
- $3.2
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $4.42
- Potential profit
- $3.49
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- -$1.81
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
BitBoy convicted?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $69.6
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $19.68
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.44
Yes position
Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.64
Yes position
Will Stuttgart finish in the top 4 of the Bundesliga 2025–26 standings?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.3
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.64
Yes position
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.2
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.8
No position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Will Zach Werenski win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.83
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.6%
- Multiplier
- 2.59x
- User PnL
- $5.99
Yes position
Will David Bailey be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.85
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.45
Yes position
Will the Philadelphia Flyers make the NHL Playoffs?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.72
Yes position
Will Como finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?
Ends May 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.21
Yes position
Will Jeremiyah Love be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.12
Yes position
Will Mallorca be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68
Yes position
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48
Yes position
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.41
Yes position
Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Kings make the NHL Playoffs?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Yes position
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.55
Yes position
Will Sevilla be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mistral AI IPO before 2027?Yes 9% 5 shares
- Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?Yes 6% 9.31 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026?Yes 14% 5 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 12% 10 shares
- Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Yes 0.1% 8.41 shares
- Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?Yes 13% 5 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes 90% 10 shares
- Will Bill Cassidy be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Yes 0.1% 10 shares
- Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?Yes 7% 5 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.4% 25 shares
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.4% 25 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 15% 15 shares