Polymarket Trader

0x5C396749e9cBB295096CA937Cfc9a69E9B535ADE-1780773873848

0x5c396749e9cbb295096ca937cfc9a69e9b535ade

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $48.07
Realized PnL: $45.18
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.72
Potential profit: $85.72
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.2%
Current value: $26.41
Potential payout: $75.12
Potential profit: $48.72
Multiplier: 2.84x
User PnL: $2.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 26.4%
Current value: $15.9
Potential payout: $60.35
Potential profit: $44.45
Multiplier: 3.80x
User PnL: $7.9

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.56
Potential profit: $25.56
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 25.4%
Current value: $5.76
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $16.97
Multiplier: 3.94x
User PnL: $0.76

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.52
Potential profit: $18.52
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $17.86
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.35
Potential profit: $16.35
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.89
Potential profit: $7.89
User PnL: -$6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.53

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.19

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.11

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.08

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.01

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0

T1 position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 11.5%
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.22

Yes position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.46

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.52

No position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $81 on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.68

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 19.1% 15.71 shares
Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 0.4% 57.47 shares
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

No 13% 10 shares
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 11% 32.21 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 38.1% 52.49 shares
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 99.9% 9.09 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 22% 22.73 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 11.2% 44.64 shares
Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Yes 8.7% 57.47 shares
Will White House post 200+ posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

No 30% 10 shares
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 18.6% 32.21 shares
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Yes 11% 9.09 shares