No position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300K
- Potential profit
- $300K
- User PnL
- -$99K
Polymarket Trader
VARsenal
0x5c3a1a602848565bb16165fcd460b00c3d43020b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $189.13K
- Realized PnL
- $2.61M
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 50
- Closed positions
- 50
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $268K
- Potential profit
- $268K
- User PnL
- -$101.84K
Spain position
Spread: Spain (-2.5)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250K
- Potential profit
- $250K
- User PnL
- -$132.5K
No position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $229.75K
- Potential profit
- $229.75K
- User PnL
- -$94.2K
Yes position
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $201.32K
- Potential profit
- $201.32K
- User PnL
- -$4.21K
Yes position
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150K
- Potential profit
- $150K
- User PnL
- -$28.5K
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150K
- Potential profit
- $150K
- User PnL
- -$16.5K
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $9.38K
- Potential payout
- $141.05K
- Potential profit
- $131.67K
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$2.71K
No position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140K
- Potential profit
- $140K
- User PnL
- -$39.8K
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126.8K
- Potential profit
- $126.8K
- User PnL
- -$16.48K
Andrey Rublev position
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125K
- Potential profit
- $125K
- User PnL
- -$65.2K
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-09?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $112.35K
- Potential profit
- $112.35K
- User PnL
- -$49.43K
Yes position
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105.84K
- Potential profit
- $105.84K
- User PnL
- -$36.99K
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $100K
- User PnL
- -$61K
Over position
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $48.5K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $51.5K
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$3.5K
Yes position
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $100K
- User PnL
- -$14K
No position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $100K
- User PnL
- -$64K
Yes position
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-07?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $100K
- User PnL
- -$20K
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.3%
- Current value
- $13.25K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $86.75K
- Multiplier
- 7.55x
- User PnL
- -$2.65K
No position
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-09?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $88K
- Potential profit
- $88K
- User PnL
- -$41.36K
No position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-09?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87.01K
- Potential profit
- $87.01K
- User PnL
- -$30.12K
Austria position
Spread: Austria (-1.5)
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $46.73K
- Potential payout
- $84.2K
- Potential profit
- $37.47K
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $9.09K
Yes position
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-05-12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84K
- Potential profit
- $84K
- User PnL
- -$31.08K
Scotland position
Spread: Scotland (-1.5)
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.8K
- Potential profit
- $68.8K
- User PnL
- -$26.23K
Atlanta Braves position
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Braves
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.8K
- Potential profit
- $64.8K
- User PnL
- -$40.82K
No position
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.82K
- Potential profit
- $50.82K
- User PnL
- -$25.81K
No position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.6%
- Current value
- $40.78K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $9.23K
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$675
Astralis position
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$26K
Sinners position
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$23.5K
No position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.26K
- Potential profit
- $47.26K
- User PnL
- -$16.84K
Pittsburgh Pirates position
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.05K
- Potential profit
- $45.05K
- User PnL
- -$16.67K
BIG position
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $40K
- User PnL
- -$21.2K
No position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.97K
- Potential profit
- $39.97K
- User PnL
- -$19.19K
No position
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36K
- Potential profit
- $36K
- User PnL
- -$17.64K
Arthur Fery position
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Arthur Fery vs Pedro Martinez
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.19K
- Potential profit
- $32.19K
- User PnL
- -$16.1K
No position
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $30K
- User PnL
- -$18.6K
Khamzat Chimaev position
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $30K
- User PnL
- -$24K
Milwaukee Brewers position
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $30K
- User PnL
- -$19.2K
Crystal Palace FC position
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $30K
- User PnL
- -$14.43K
FULL SENSE position
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $30K
- User PnL
- -$13.5K
Y
Yes position
Austria leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $29.98K
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- $14.38K
Türkiye position
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $30K
- User PnL
- -$9.6K
No position
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29K
- Potential profit
- $29K
- User PnL
- -$14.21K
DN SOOPers position
LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.99K
- Potential profit
- $26.99K
- User PnL
- -$9.74K
No position
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22K
- Potential profit
- $22K
- User PnL
- -$8.14K
Yes position
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.39K
- Potential profit
- $20.39K
- User PnL
- -$6.52K
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $509.85
- Potential payout
- $20.07K
- Potential profit
- $19.56K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- $48.18
No position
Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$10.6K
No position
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$10K
Leviatán Esports position
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$12.6K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.92K
No position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $223.04K
No position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.43K
No position
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.36K
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.48K
No position
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.4K
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.92K
No position
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.39K
Kansas City Royals position
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.2K
Over position
Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.9K
No position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.41K
No position
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.8K
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-03-29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.51K
No position
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.11K
No position
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.83K
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.67K
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.23K
No position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.09K
G2 Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.5K
No position
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.2K
Heroic position
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.61K
Anhelina Kalinina position
Madrid Open, Qualification: Sloane Stephens vs Anhelina Kalinina
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.7K
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.97K
Aurora Gaming position
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.8K
No position
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35K
Yes position
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.68K
No position
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-03?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.51K
No position
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-04-11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.2K
Boston Red Sox position
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.9K
No position
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.82K
Capitals position
Capitals vs. Blue Jackets
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.2K
No position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.17K
Yes position
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-19?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.11K
Spurs position
Spurs vs. Pistons
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.98K
Duke Blue Devils position
Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan Wolverines
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.4K
Under position
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30K
No position
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-07?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30K
Baltimore Orioles position
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30K
No position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.69K
No position
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-22?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.5K
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29K
Sharks position
Sharks vs. Predators
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.5K
No position
AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Score
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28K
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.6K
Under position
Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.18K
No position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.17K
No position
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.85K
Natus Vincere position
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs
Ends Mar 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.75K
No position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.45K
Capitals position
Golden Knights vs. Capitals
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina 37% 100,000 shares
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina 37% 100,000 shares
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina 37% 100,000 shares
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina 41% 7,689.96 shares
- France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreYes 52% 19,647.4 shares
- Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?Yes 13% 56,754.52 shares
- Detroit Tigers vs. Houston AstrosHouston Astros 60% 653.1 shares
- France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to ScoreYes 49% 53,915.54 shares
- IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to ScoreYes 43% 4,389.75 shares
- Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?Yes 19% 58,241.53 shares
- Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?Yes 11% 10,627.14 shares
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Spain 53% 100,000 shares