No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.92K
- Potential profit
- $4.92K
- User PnL
- -$4.92
Polymarket Trader
0x5c42cC404183FbA2730Df9450b0eeA9c68A14Bfb-1777306762390
0x5c42cc404183fba2730df9450b0eea9c68a14bfb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $13.48
- Realized PnL
- -$22.65
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Joel get engaged on Love is Blind: Sweden: Season 3?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $2.7
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $57.3
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$3.3
Yes position
Will Trump say "NATO" during King Charles visit?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.93
- Potential profit
- $31.93
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $2.54
- Potential payout
- $26.69
- Potential profit
- $24.16
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.46
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $3.06
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $9.44
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $11.36
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $0.55
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.45
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$4.45
Yes position
Will Comey smile in his mugshot?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.13
- Potential profit
- $8.13
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Comey insult Trump by Friday?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.67
- Potential profit
- $6.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $0.68
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.33
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 22.2%
- Current value
- $0.87
- Potential payout
- $3.94
- Potential profit
- $3.07
- Multiplier
- 4.51x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $3.33
- Potential profit
- $2.98
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $3.23
- Potential profit
- $3.22
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $0.37
- Potential payout
- $2.78
- Potential profit
- $2.4
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.63
No position
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.53
- Potential profit
- $2.53
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 2 weeks?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.5
- Potential profit
- $2.5
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Justin Briner as Izuku Midoriya (My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (English) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.13
- Potential profit
- $2.13
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $1.34
- Potential payout
- $1.67
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.52
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.32
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.13
No position
James Comey arrested by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.72
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.78
No position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.07
Yes position
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Critical Discord Incident by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
Ends Nov 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 57%
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Multiplier
- 35.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 27?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.88
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
BNB Up or Down - April 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?Yes 17% 5.88 shares
- Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2026?Yes 1.1% 125.86 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 25.4% 3.94 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.9% 111.11 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 3.1% 66.66 shares
- Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2026?Yes 1.6% 125.87 shares
- Will Joel get engaged on Love is Blind: Sweden: Season 3?Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 24% 12.5 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 1.5% 66.67 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 14% 21.43 shares
- Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes 45% 2.12 shares
- Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80% by June 30?No 39% 5.55 shares