Yes position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $18.45
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $281.55
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- $3.45
Polymarket Trader
OftenLosing
0x5c4422324723aaf6fbfc41e8a727ae850136a66e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $329.95
- Realized PnL
- -$1.26K
- Win rate
- 36.8%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $281.04
- Potential payout
- $299.62
- Potential profit
- $18.58
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $40.7
Yes position
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.01
- Potential profit
- $222.01
- User PnL
- -$46.62
Yes position
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $30.46
- Potential payout
- $43.51
- Potential profit
- $13.05
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $6.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.5
Yes position
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38
No position
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.7
No position
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.5
Yes position
Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.99
No position
Will "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.64
No position
Will "Gender" be said at the Grammys?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$4.87
Yes position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.54
Yes position
Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.9
Yes position
Will Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.3
No position
Will Solana dip to $90 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- -$35.03
Yes position
Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$60.08
No position
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$106.41
Yes position
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$139.14
No position
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$144.08
Yes position
Will inflation be 0.6% or more from June to July?
Ends Aug 11, 2021- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 51225065.53x
- User PnL
- -$890
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No 67.2% 49.63 shares
- Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Yes 56% 43.51 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes 51.1% 124.95 shares
- Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?Yes 0.4% 252.83 shares
- Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes 9.9% 99.9 shares
- Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?Yes 49.1% 165.4 shares
- Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?Yes 62% 22 shares
- Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?No 20.3% 200 shares
- Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?Yes 1.1% 109.67 shares
- Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?Yes 3% 100 shares
- Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?Yes 71.2% 108.57 shares
- Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?Yes 66.4% 20 shares