Polymarket Trader

Darktree

0x5c44e1cd748ea5eb76da0d56d9a20327d9e8db63

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $194.87
Realized PnL: $145.85
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $109.87
Potential payout: $532.07
Potential profit: $422.19
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: $60.92

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $85
Potential payout: $370.37
Potential profit: $285.37
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $35

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230.51
Potential profit: $230.51
User PnL: -$20

Brisbane Heat position

Big Bash League: Adelaide Strikers vs Brisbane Heat (Game 1)

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $222.22
User PnL: -$25

Bills position

Eagles vs. Bills

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.65
Potential profit: $80.65
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.5
Potential profit: $36.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $30.3
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.63
Potential profit: $27.63
User PnL: -$4.97

Yes position

Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.12
Potential profit: $17.12
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.75
Potential profit: $14.75
User PnL: -$9.84

Yes position

Another GTA VI trailer released in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Manchester City win the 2024-25 FA Cup?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25

Jazz position

Celtics vs. Jazz

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.14

Kamala position

Who will gain more in polls after the debate?

Ends Sep 17, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.13

Yes position

Will the New York Yankees win the World Series?

Ends Nov 2, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.92

Kamala position

Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?

Ends Sep 11, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.15

Mavericks position

Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.55

No position

Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?

Ends Apr 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.91

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Pelicans

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.79

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.81

Yes position

Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.53

Yes position

Will a Democrat win New Mexico Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.07

No position

Trump fires campaign manager?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.87

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.53

Yes position

Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >55% on Friday?

Ends Sep 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

Texans position

Texans vs. Cowboys

Ends Nov 26, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

Yes position

Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?

Ends Dec 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91

Yes position

Will a Democrat win Iowa Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.91

No position

Trump wins every swing state?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.58

Chiefs position

Chiefs vs. Panthers

Ends Dec 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will JD Vance say "Inflation" during the debate?

Ends Oct 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.2% 532.07 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 13.5% 370.37 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET

Down 18% 27.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Down 97% 41.23 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Down 99% 20.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Down 97% 20.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Up 98% 61.22 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Down 64.7% 30.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Up 67% 14.74 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Up 59% 18.41 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Up 53.5% 18.41 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Down 81% 13.93 shares