No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200K
- Potential profit
- $200K
- User PnL
- -$200
Polymarket Trader
allula
0x5c4c31503c82070bbbe96d7b781917c160d8472f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $275.47
- Realized PnL
- $17.95K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.8%
- Current value
- $273.22
- Potential payout
- $397.42
- Potential profit
- $124.19
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- $73.22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $286.72
- Potential profit
- $286.72
- User PnL
- -$264
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $225.47
- Potential profit
- $225.47
- User PnL
- -$95.86
Yes position
Will Dragoș Pîslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $2.25
- Potential payout
- $107.14
- Potential profit
- $104.89
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.1
- Potential profit
- $72.1
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.27
- Potential profit
- $7.27
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.62K
Yes position
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
No position
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
Will Crin Antonescu win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $770.13
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $639.32
No position
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $590.28
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $522.42
Yes position
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $467.18
Yes position
Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be 12m or more?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $312.18
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 23?
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $196.34
No position
Will Călin Georgescu win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.71
Yes position
Will Ilie Bolojan win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.1
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on December 22?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.5
No position
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.73
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.77
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.81
No position
Will AUR win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?
Ends Dec 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.42
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.1
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Dragoș Pîslaru be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 2.8% 107.14 shares
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No 41.9% 238.69 shares
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No 63% 158.73 shares
- Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 44.1% 22.72 shares
- Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 26.4% 22.73 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on May 6?Yes 41.3% 7.27 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on May 5?No 92% 36.44 shares
- Romania No-Confidence vote passes?No 0.1% 127.87 shares
- Romania No-Confidence vote passes?No 23.5% 127.87 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on May 5?No 82.3% 36.45 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on May 4?Yes 5.5% 72.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on May 4?No 99.9% 67.42 shares