Polymarket Trader

Fracker

0x5c5aa8d9dd46b3a5ea55c0e22f2b6e88c895aabe

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $291.89
Realized PnL: $359.23
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elliot Anderson join Manchester City?

Ends Sep 2, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $64.36
Potential payout: $67.21
Potential profit: $2.86
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $4.36

No position

Will Emiliano Martinez join Bayern Munich?

Ends Sep 2, 2026

Implied probability: 87.6%
Current value: $48.06
Potential payout: $54.89
Potential profit: $6.83
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $6.34

No position

Will Noni Madueke be in England's Starting 11?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $25.89
Potential payout: $38.36
Potential profit: $12.47
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $7.43

No position

Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $26.56
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $4.69
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $6.56

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$20.1

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $19.95
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $10.05
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $1.95

No position

Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $29.99
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Will Starmer officially leave office by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $26.39
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $3.6
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $16.07
Potential payout: $24.92
Potential profit: $8.85
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $4.11

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $20.68
Potential payout: $21.13
Potential profit: $0.44
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $5.68

No position

Will Elliot Anderson join Newcastle United?

Ends Sep 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $20.14
Potential payout: $20.2
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $2.16

No position

Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$12.9

Yes position

Citrini Analyst #3 returns to the Middle East in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$4

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$14.2

Yes position

No one announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $13.94
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $1.06
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $1.04

Yes position

Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.04
Potential profit: $14.04
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $9.85
Potential payout: $10.77
Potential profit: $0.92
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $2.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?

Ends Aug 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.5

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Cardinals

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.55

Bergs position

Set Handicap: Bergs (-1.5) vs Mannarino (+1.5)

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.37

Yes position

Will Trump say "Card" during the X space?

Ends Sep 16, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.09

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

No position

Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.8

Yes position

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 2-8?

Ends Dec 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.04

Ugo Humbert position

Miami Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Ugo Humbert

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.75

No position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.2

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.7

No position

Will Prince-Osei Owusu win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?

Ends Nov 22, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $14.05

Pavel Kotov position

Cherbourg: Borna Gojo vs Pavel Kotov

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.26

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.94

Daniel Altmaier position

Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmic

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.86

Andrey Rublev position

Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Andrey Rublev vs Nuno Borges

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.79

Yes position

Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $12

No position

Will Giuliano Simeone be in Argentina's Starting 11?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.96

Vit Kopriva position

Grand Prix Hassan II: Vit Kopriva vs Hamad Medjedovic

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.4

Yes position

Will Drake have the top 3 albums on the Billboard 200?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

No position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.8

Damir Dzumhur position

Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.5

No position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.4

Alexandre Muller position

Grand Prix Hassan II: Federico Cina vs Alexandre Muller

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.18

Stefano Travaglia position

Zadar: Stefano Travaglia vs Mili Poljicak

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will "Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?

Yes 65% 10.77 shares
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 22.9% 50.84 shares
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?

Yes 59% 50.85 shares
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?

No 64% 31.25 shares
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?

No 3% 40 shares
Will Elliot Anderson join Manchester City?

Yes 86% 23.26 shares
Will Elliot Anderson join Manchester City?

Yes 91% 43.96 shares
Will Emiliano Martinez join Bayern Munich?

No 76% 59.21 shares
Will Elliot Anderson join Newcastle United?

No 89% 20.2 shares
Will Giuliano Simeone be in Argentina's Starting 11?

No 96% 5.76 shares
Will Giuliano Simeone be in Argentina's Starting 11?

No 96.1% 32.7 shares
Will Giuliano Simeone be in Argentina's Starting 11?

No 65% 38.46 shares