Polymarket Trader

HotDogs

0x5c602835e727c15c3fbcb03039a45dcc55b767c1

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $48.05K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $13.49K
Potential payout: $13.58K
Potential profit: $95.08
User PnL: $1.23K

No position

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $4.63K
Potential payout: $6.29K
Potential profit: $1.67K
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$705.61

Yes position

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.8%
Current value: $5.85K
Potential payout: $6.18K
Potential profit: $324.21
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $339.24

No position

Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $4.99K
Potential payout: $5.01K
Potential profit: $20.04
User PnL: $112.12

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $1.41K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $1.09K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $18.99

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $1.94K
Potential payout: $2.33K
Potential profit: $384.01
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $91.42

No position

Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $1.61K
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $318.69
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $84.48

No position

Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $1.32K
Potential payout: $1.71K
Potential profit: $393.82
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: $14.77

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $1.31K
Potential payout: $1.69K
Potential profit: $380.4
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $19.41

No position

Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $1.33K
Potential payout: $1.64K
Potential profit: $310.81
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$13.64

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.5K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5
User PnL: $18.5

No position

Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $1.02K
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $280.11
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $54.24

No position

Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $951.49
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $148.5
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$11.5

No position

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $875.07
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $172.92
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $410.22

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $874.71
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $136.51
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $50.84

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $910
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $90
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $65

No position

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $665.89
Potential payout: $778.82
Potential profit: $112.93
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $86.47

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $583.56
Potential payout: $720.44
Potential profit: $136.88
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $20

No position

Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $602.67
Potential payout: $658.66
Potential profit: $55.99
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $11.51

No position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 90.7%
Current value: $544.2
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $55.8
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $4.2

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the FL-04 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $392.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $107.5
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$17.5

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $435
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $65
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $412.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $87.5
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$32.5

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-04 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $402.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $97.5
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$12.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

No 99.4% 1,436.41 shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

No 97.4% 200 shares
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

No 99.1% 1,000 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

No 98.5% 500 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 55% 5 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 55% 1,500 shares
Will Elise Stefanik announce a presidential run before 2027?

No 72.3% 53.06 shares
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?

No 65% 14.28 shares
Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2027?

No 73.8% 100 shares
Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2027?

No 80% 15.49 shares
Will the Republican Party win the FL-10 House seat?

No 90% 30 shares
Will the Republican Party win the FL-10 House seat?

No 90% 280 shares