Yes position
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $18.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $981.5
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Polymarket Trader
baedorite
0x5c6c1ed542e495ad7431d1e625f72bf47aa86661
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $201.94
- Realized PnL
- $57.46
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $24.06
- Potential payout
- $844.12
- Potential profit
- $820.06
- Multiplier
- 35.09x
- User PnL
- $4.06
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $140K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $285.71
- Potential profit
- $285.71
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $29.42
- Potential payout
- $115.38
- Potential profit
- $85.96
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$0.58
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.9%
- Current value
- $24.41
- Potential payout
- $111.73
- Potential profit
- $87.32
- Multiplier
- 4.58x
- User PnL
- $4.41
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $45
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $17.5
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $58.82
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $11.5
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $38.5
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $49.05
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $24.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.56
Yes position
Will Pump.fun dip to $0.004 before August?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $17.9
Iran position
Will Israel or Iran break the ceasefire first?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $14
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 2.4% 844.12 shares
- Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 2% 1,000 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 26% 115.38 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 95.8% 50 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 63% 31.75 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 32% 62.5 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 60% 50 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No 33% 50 shares
- Will Hyperliquid reach $80 in June?No 49% 8.35 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No 17% 58.82 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.9% 111.73 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in July?Yes 4.5% 555.55 shares