Polymarket Trader

0x5c71D7fac1805B311D616b7Cd9a272f9dCeab76a-1782805108097

0x5c71d7fac1805b311d616b7cd9a272f9dceab76a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $75.94
Realized PnL: $164.83
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $24.33
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.13K
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$31.67

Yes position

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $317.88
Potential profit: $317.88
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.65
Potential profit: $80.65
User PnL: -$25

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $3.4
Potential payout: $79.34
Potential profit: $75.94
Multiplier: 23.31x
User PnL: -$2.6

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $3.85
Potential payout: $76.99
Potential profit: $73.14
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$2.15

No position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $9.71
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $49.12
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $9.72
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $45.83
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $9.71
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $42.92
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 36.6%
Current value: $11.14
Potential payout: $30.49
Potential profit: $19.34
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $1.14

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19%
Current value: $4.07
Potential payout: $21.43
Potential profit: $17.36
Multiplier: 5.26x
User PnL: -$1.93

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 18% 55.56 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 17% 58.82 shares
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?

Yes 6% 166.67 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 32.8% 30.49 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19% 52.63 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by July 31, 2026?

Yes 28% 21.43 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by July 31, 2026?

Yes 7.8% 76.99 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by July 31, 2026?

No 7.6% 79.34 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by July 31, 2026?

No 3.9% 153 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Down 30% 83.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Down 28% 66.39 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Up 31% 80.65 shares