Polymarket Trader

ydrdsy

0x5c75637d1c64562c4eb74d12530fa28a01faf522

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $84.17
Realized PnL: $13.17
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $19.87
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.13
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $15.88
Potential payout: $16
Potential profit: $0.12
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $14.9
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $9.97
Potential payout: $9.99
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.57

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$7.79

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $5.08
Potential payout: $5.13
Potential profit: $0.05
User PnL: $0.08

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $5.06
Potential payout: $5.1
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $4.86
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $0.14
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.3
Potential profit: $4.3
User PnL: -$4

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.63
Potential profit: $2.63
User PnL: -$2

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Current value: $2.21
Potential payout: $2.25
Potential profit: $0.03
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.21

No position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $2.03
Potential payout: $2.13
Potential profit: $0.11
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.94
Potential profit: $1.94
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82
Potential profit: $1.82
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $1.67
Potential profit: $0.58
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25
Potential profit: $1.25
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22
Potential profit: $1.22
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.3%
Current value: $1.15
Potential payout: $1.22
Potential profit: $0.07
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $1.12
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $1.05
Potential payout: $1.11
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.99

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.87

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 26?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.58

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

No position

Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

No position

US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 5?

Ends Nov 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.32

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.32

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 6.5% 120 shares
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

No 97.5% 5.13 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

No 89% 2.25 shares
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 76% 2.63 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 89% 1.12 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 80% 1.25 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 93% 4.3 shares
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

No 98% 5.1 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 90.3% 1.11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

No 55% 1.82 shares
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 2.2% 300 shares
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?

No 92% 5 shares