Arba..

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $25.44
Potential payout: $25.46
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $3.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $23.55
Potential payout: $23.63
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $1.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 29?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $23.24
Potential payout: $23.25
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $1.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $23.15
Potential payout: $23.16
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $1.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $22.77
Potential payout: $23.16
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.77

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 29?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $22.8
Potential payout: $22.92
Potential profit: $0.11
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $22.19
Potential payout: $22.89
Potential profit: $0.7
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $22.47
Potential payout: $22.85
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 91.3%
Current value: $20.79
Potential payout: $22.77
Potential profit: $1.98
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$1.21

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $22.7
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 95.2%
Current value: $21.62
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $1.1
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 30°C or higher on June 29?

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $22.46
Potential payout: $22.71
Potential profit: $0.25
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.46

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 40°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $22.61
Potential payout: $22.7
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $22.47
Potential payout: $22.7
Potential profit: $0.24
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.47

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 29?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $22.64
Potential payout: $22.7
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $0.64

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $22.66
Potential payout: $22.69
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.66

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $22.59
Potential payout: $22.68
Potential profit: $0.09
User PnL: $0.59

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on June 29?

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $22
Potential payout: $22.68
Potential profit: $0.68
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C or higher on June 29?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $22.67
Potential payout: $22.68
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.37
Potential payout: $22.63
Potential profit: $22.26
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$21.63

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 98-99°F on June 28?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $22.61
Potential payout: $22.61
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 29?

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $22.58
Potential payout: $22.61
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.58

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 98-99°F on June 29?

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $22.02
Potential payout: $22.57
Potential profit: $0.55
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C or higher on June 29?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $22.56
Potential payout: $22.57
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.56

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on June 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.36

No position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on June 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 40°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 28?