Yes position
Ethereum all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.95K
- Potential profit
- $11.95K
- User PnL
- -$6K
Polymarket Trader
Cactus969
0x5c7d0f8133ed2ec8419525251579978c53ac182a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.52K
- Realized PnL
- -$140.29
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $1.21K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$166.93
Yes position
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $335
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $665
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- -$115
Yes position
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 69%
- Current value
- $551.92
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $248.08
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$56.08
Yes position
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $415
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $85
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $55
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34K
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $4000 in September?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3K
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $586.61
Yes position
Ethereum above $3,600 on July 25?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $444.03
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $299.66
Yes position
Will Solana reach $200 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $193.66
No position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $24.89
No position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $12.13
No position
Will Solana reach $250 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $2200 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.01
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$7.92
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.7
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$43.48
Yes position
Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$84.28
Yes position
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$175.05
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$181.41
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $130K in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$220
No position
Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$405.67
Yes position
XRP above $3.50 on July 25?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Solana above $180 on July 25?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$500
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$728.36
No position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$961
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$1.22K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 40% 1,486.6 shares
- Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes 72% 500 shares
- Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes 39% 18 shares
- Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 5.4% 5,226.33 shares
- Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 97.6% 537.63 shares
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 98.1% 522.13 shares
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 95.8% 522.14 shares
- Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No 93% 537.63 shares
- Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 28.7% 5,226.34 shares
- Ethereum all time high by December 31?Yes 45% 1,333.33 shares
- Ethereum all time high by December 31?Yes 44% 1,818.07 shares
- Ethereum all time high by December 31?Yes 43.9% 1,140.25 shares