Polymarket Trader

lisihao

0x5c9dde50fb89ba791877295d47213ebf8c00561a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.95
Realized PnL: $104.72
Win rate: 80%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Trump kiss by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump attend his son's wedding?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.04
Potential profit: $102.04
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.22
Potential profit: $84.22
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 9.1%
Current value: $5.39
Potential payout: $59.58
Potential profit: $54.18
Multiplier: 11.05x
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $5.43
Potential payout: $52
Potential profit: $46.57
Multiplier: 9.57x
User PnL: $0.43

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $44.25
Potential profit: $44.25
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in July 2026?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $3.12
Potential payout: $43.75
Potential profit: $40.63
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: -$1.88

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.54
Potential profit: $40.54
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.29
Potential profit: $30.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.75
Potential profit: $18.75
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.96
Potential profit: $15.96
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $15.15
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.59

Yes position

Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.26

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.86

No position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.28

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.12

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 30% 33.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Yes 15% 66.67 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Yes 33% 15.15 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

No 89% 19.23 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Yes 99.4% 22.72 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Yes 18% 8.92 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Yes 56% 8.93 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

No 90% 33.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Yes 22% 22.73 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

No 52% 19.23 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

No 70% 28.57 shares