Polymarket Trader

0x5cA7E46f9377E2101aaB6888cbFC4708C787e3e8-1769500946991

0x5ca7e46f9377e2101aab6888cbfc4708c787e3e8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $47.12
Realized PnL: $108.73
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?

Ends Nov 4, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $4.36
Potential payout: $26.45
Potential profit: $22.09
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $57 Week of July 6 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $4.84
Potential payout: $23.06
Potential profit: $18.22
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$0.23

Over position

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.43
Potential profit: $19.43
User PnL: -$9.91

Over position

Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.11
Potential profit: $18.11
User PnL: -$9.96

Detroit Tigers position

Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.33
Potential profit: $16.33
User PnL: -$8.98

Los Angeles Dodgers position

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.24
Potential profit: $14.24
User PnL: -$8.83

No position

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $4.12
Potential payout: $13.5
Potential profit: $9.38
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$0.88

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Knicks

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.62
Potential profit: $12.62
User PnL: -$10.98

Yes position

Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 41%
Current value: $5.06
Potential payout: $12.34
Potential profit: $7.28
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: -$0.25

Spurs position

Spread: Spurs (-3.5)

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.56
Potential profit: $11.56
User PnL: -$9.36

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $9.99
Potential payout: $10.09
Potential profit: $0.1
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $6.15
Potential payout: $9.68
Potential profit: $3.53
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $0.73

Spurs position

Spread: Spurs (-9.5)

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.33
Potential profit: $9.33
User PnL: -$6.34

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $7.23
Potential payout: $9.09
Potential profit: $1.86
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$0.14

Under position

New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.45
Potential profit: $8.45
User PnL: -$6.17

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $5.37
Potential payout: $5.81
Potential profit: $0.44
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.38

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Over position

Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.64

Houston Astros position

Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.58

Phoenix Mercury position

Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.71

Pittsburgh Pirates position

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.08

Seattle Mariners position

Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.53

Under position

New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.81

Colorado Rockies position

Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.45

Pittsburgh Pirates position

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.44

Over position

Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.39

Chicago Cubs position

Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.24

Over position

Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.77

Los Angeles Sparks position

PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.54

Phoenix Mercury position

Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.18

Under position

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.05

Knicks position

Spread: Spurs (-14.5)

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

Tampa Bay Rays position

Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.76

Over position

Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.72

San Diego Padres position

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.84

Under position

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.83

Toronto Blue Jays position

Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7PM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52

Chicago White Sox position

Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?

No 20% 26.45 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

No 98.5% 10.09 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

No 86% 5.81 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

No 56% 9.68 shares
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

No 98.1% 3.48 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

No 99.9% 10.09 shares
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?

No 98.7% 55.94 shares
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?

No 96.6% 22.56 shares
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?

No 98.4% 10.09 shares
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?

No 98.1% 3.49 shares
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?

No 96.4% 5.35 shares
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?

No 96.5% 7.98 shares