0x5cA84F8F1fF7B9A72be05FE18dbbABEF56eaeD52-1781777533430

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $963.21
Potential profit: $963.21
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1.18
Potential payout: $783.54
Potential profit: $782.36
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$45.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $31.68
Potential payout: $374.88
Potential profit: $343.2
Multiplier: 11.83x
User PnL: -$20.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $182.43
Potential payout: $361.24
Potential profit: $178.81
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $38.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $356.87
Potential profit: $356.87
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.17
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.17
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $327.53
Potential profit: $327.53
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $170.69
Potential profit: $170.69
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $138.85
Potential profit: $138.85
User PnL: -$16.48

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $124.81
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $9.44
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $101.67
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$20.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.1
Potential profit: $96.1
User PnL: -$26.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $14.92
Potential payout: $76.52
Potential profit: $61.6
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$2.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.27
Potential profit: $52.27
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $12.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $37.75
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $10.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $39.25
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $1.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.52
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$0.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.66

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.47

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.35

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.04

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET