Polymarket Trader

shenyouw

0x5cb1f784246ffbeb8fb7b93ce702c2720008e80c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $100.64
Realized PnL: $3.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.6%
Current value: $10.91
Potential payout: $303.08
Potential profit: $292.17
Multiplier: 27.78x
User PnL: $4.91

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $5.33
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $212.07
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $0.33

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $11.04
Potential payout: $188.75
Potential profit: $177.71
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $1.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $94.91
Potential profit: $94.91
User PnL: -$81.33

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.08
Potential profit: $92.08
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $6.45
Potential payout: $87.82
Potential profit: $81.37
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Current value: $11.17
Potential payout: $86.96
Potential profit: $75.78
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $12.53
Potential payout: $67.93
Potential profit: $55.4
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $2.53

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $1.72
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $60.78
Multiplier: 36.36x
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $8.4
Potential payout: $61.54
Potential profit: $53.14
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.7%
Current value: $3.78
Potential payout: $56.82
Potential profit: $53.04
Multiplier: 15.04x
User PnL: -$1.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$13.25

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $17.38
Potential payout: $33.74
Potential profit: $16.36
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $9.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.93
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$9.83

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $22.73
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $9.49
Potential payout: $20.41
Potential profit: $10.92
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$0.51

Over position

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.87
Potential profit: $18.87
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.14
Potential profit: $16.14
User PnL: -$10.01

Under position

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.87
Potential profit: $15.87
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.85
Potential profit: $14.85
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $2.36
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $11.93
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $1.36

No position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.08
Potential profit: $14.08
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $393.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $272.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $103.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 3?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C or higher on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.08

Yes position

Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or higher on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 19?

Yes 99.8% 37.84 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?

Yes 99.7% 30 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.3% 173.91 shares
o1 FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Yes 88.2% 11.33 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Yes 49% 20.41 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?

Yes 63% 25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?

Yes 62% 5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?

No 62.6% 20.3 shares
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?

No 49.3% 20.3 shares
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?

No 71% 14.08 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.7% 200 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 76% 13.16 shares