Polymarket Trader

11vvr

@LichtenheldTom

0x5cb287fceaec8ed4c35fbc6d7821b75150dd7f19

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.89
Realized PnL: $7.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will PPI YoY be between 5.0% and 5.9% in May?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$186

No position

Will "Mortal Kombat II" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 20m?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$5.3

No position

Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.06
Potential profit: $107.06
User PnL: -$44.81

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.65

Yes position

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$6.6

Yes position

Will Nisha be named Tournament MVP at BLAST Slam VII?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $1.45
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $98.54
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.98
Potential profit: $99.98
User PnL: -$14.5

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 110,000 and 120,000 voters?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $79.96
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.68

Ray J position

Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $80
User PnL: -$20.4

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be 120,000 voters or higher?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $79.99
Potential profit: $79.95
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.6

No position

Will turnout in the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary be between 100,000 and 110,000 voters?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.7
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$1.28

Yes position

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $80 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1.8

No position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$24.5

Yes position

Will Biagio Simonetti win the 2026 Ottaviano mayoral election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Team Spirit win BLAST Slam VII?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$15.4

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$31.14

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$6.2

No position

Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will Gerlando Alonge win the 2026 Agrigento mayoral election?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$14.4

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 22.9%
Current value: $4.57
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15.43
Multiplier: 4.38x
User PnL: -$0.43

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.6
Potential profit: $13.6
User PnL: -$8.84

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 11.4%
Current value: $0.49
Potential payout: $4.29
Potential profit: $3.8
Multiplier: 8.77x
User PnL: -$0.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Mavericks position

Thunder vs. Mavericks

Ends Jan 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4K

Yes position

Will Burkina Faso win on 2025-12-24?

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $256.64

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $139.38

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.95

No position

Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.2

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.6

Yes position

Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $93.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $82.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.99

JiJieHao position

Counter-Strike: Sinners vs JiJieHao (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Group C

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $69

Yes position

Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Jan 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $67.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $66.1

No position

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $65.95

No position

Will no qualifying US-Iran meeting occur by February 13, 2026?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $36

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.87

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34

Yes position

Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.92

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $31.21

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29.04

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $28.68

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Yes 41% 8 shares
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Yes 7.6% 50 shares
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?

No 50.1% 100 shares
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

No 87.1% 60 shares
Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Yes 70% 100 shares
Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Yes 71% 50 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

No 6% 50 shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?

No 80% 50 shares
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?

No 94% 50 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

No 76% 100 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 38% 84.55 shares
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 82.6% 50 shares