Polymarket Trader

Cungly

0x5ccf62ac8155e49bc7d021a1a66e9ef18f5579d7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $18.44K
Realized PnL: $97.76K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $6.11
Potential payout: $12.22K
Potential profit: $12.21K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$18.32

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $2.96K
Potential payout: $10.03K
Potential profit: $7.07K
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $938.37

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $33.46
Potential payout: $9.56K
Potential profit: $9.53K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: $4.36

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $44.13
Potential payout: $8.02K
Potential profit: $7.98K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$228.67

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $178.21
Potential payout: $6.72K
Potential profit: $6.55K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$157.55

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.6%
Current value: $777.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.22K
Multiplier: 6.43x
User PnL: -$1.72K

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $4.22K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $777.5
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1.72K

No position

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $3.99K
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: $104

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $77.13
Potential payout: $3.76K
Potential profit: $3.69K
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$57.02

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $3.3K
Potential payout: $3.3K
Potential profit: $1.65
User PnL: $4.95

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $1.74K
Potential payout: $2.37K
Potential profit: $628.64
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $83.03

Yes position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $16.75
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.32K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$25.39

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $35.27
Potential payout: $1.12K
Potential profit: $1.08K
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$148.71

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $8.11
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$3.42

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $121.65
Potential payout: $838.98
Potential profit: $717.32
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$4.19

Yes position

Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $77.46
Potential payout: $595.82
Potential profit: $518.36
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: $8.12

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $515.03
Potential payout: $515.28
Potential profit: $0.26
User PnL: $69.51

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 59.7%
Current value: $291.77
Potential payout: $488.72
Potential profit: $196.96
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$15.15

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $322
Potential profit: $322
User PnL: -$18.03

Yes position

Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $39
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $61
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: $35

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.22K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.44K

Yes position

James Comey arrested by April 29?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.83K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.48K

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.45K

No position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16K

Yes position

Prince Andrew released by February 19?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.17K

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.14K

Yes position

Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.07K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.73K

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68K

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67K

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56K

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.47K

No position

Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.23K

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.23K

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.2K

No position

Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17K

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $987.21

Yes position

Will Trump praise Vladimir Putin by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $853.2

Yes position

Will Trump say "Obliterated" or "Obliteration" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $842.97

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 70% 2,721.9 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 64% 3,000 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 62.8% 3,350 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 60% 2,709.44 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 61.3% 2,290.56 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 59.9% 1,919.17 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

Yes 2.5% 136.54 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

Yes 2.6% 1,782.67 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 60.9% 1,000 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 50.7% 481.99 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?

No 54.8% 1,551.23 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 40% 68.49 shares