No position
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $23.96
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.01
Polymarket Trader
Helgaa3
0x5cddfe62db26ca268836e19e9e4e2f75a801bbf0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $67.35
- Realized PnL
- $16.04
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will John Mills be the Republican nominee for AL-01?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $22.44
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $1.56
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$1.32
No position
Will Hope Scheppelman be the Republican nominee for CO-03?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $20.95
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will turnout in the Bangladesh parliamentary election be below 65%?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on February 17?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on February 27?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
Ends Mar 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 59 million views on day 4?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 23?
Ends Feb 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 33°F or below on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will "Love is Blind: The Reunion" be the top US Netflix show this week?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will Choosin’ Texas by Ella Langley be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 14?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Will "Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
No position
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Yes position
Will "Ult" or "Ultimate" be said 15+ times during the Valorant Masters Grand Finals?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" win Best Special Visual Effects at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will Zoë Garbett win the 2026 London Borough of Hackney mayoral election?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will "Michael" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will MrBeast's video get between 70 and 72 million views on day 3?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on February 25?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will "XO, Kitty: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will Greczula win Melodifestivalen 2026?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?No 99.8% 24 shares
- Will Hope Scheppelman be the Republican nominee for CO-03?No 99.8% 21 shares
- Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?Yes 99.9% 20 shares
- Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?No 99.9% 27 shares
- Will "Scary Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m?Yes 97.3% 20 shares
- Will Ralph Norman win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?No 99.3% 20 shares
- Will Ralph Norman win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?No 98.3% 20 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?No 99.2% 18 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?No 97.5% 18 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?No 99% 19 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?No 98% 19 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No 99.9% 46.05 shares