Polymarket Trader

0x5CE9e9f19Fe097B469956a9C5B7ADBdc0846C5D7-1761587520074

0x5ce9e9f19fe097b469956a9c5b7adbdc0846c5d7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $54.17
Realized PnL: $303.29
Win rate: 55.6%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $917.43
Potential profit: $917.43
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $54.17
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $779.17
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$45.83

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $800
User PnL: -$104

Yes position

Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $684.21
Potential profit: $684.21
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $497.08
Potential profit: $497.08
User PnL: -$39.93

Yes position

Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $140
User PnL: -$92.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.61
Potential profit: $119.61
User PnL: -$19.9

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.42
Potential profit: $73.42
User PnL: -$19.81

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $325.46

Yes position

Will Trump sue the BBC?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $183.08

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.04

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$30.43

Yes position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$65

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$80.69

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?

Yes 6% 1,153.84 shares
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Yes 9% 500 shares
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 1.3% 7,058.82 shares
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

No 7% 357.14 shares
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

No 28% 357.14 shares
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Yes 10.9% 917.43 shares
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Yes 22% 94.88 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Up 4.9% 406.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET

Up 22% 89.63 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Up 36% 74.53 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Up 26.6% 73.82 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Down 27% 72.7 shares