Yes position
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $18.98
- Potential payout
- $63.28
- Potential profit
- $44.29
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- -$6.33
Polymarket Trader
thisisspartaa
0x5cfd82dd4ae450ca932774ed71d7918479260144
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.64
- Realized PnL
- $642.32
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Frank F. Blas Jr. win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $0.65
- Potential payout
- $1.39
- Potential profit
- $0.74
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $0.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Galions Sharks position
LoL: Galions Sharks vs French Flair - Game 1 Winner
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $154.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.56
Rangers position
Penguins vs. Rangers
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.6
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.87
Jets position
Blackhawks vs. Jets
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.84
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.16
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.28
Yes position
Will Trump say "Kamala" during Cabinet meeting on March 26?
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.8
Yes position
Will Trump say "Women's Sports" during National Agriculture Day events?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.95
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.31
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 21?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.93
Yes position
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 17?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.79
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.58
Yes position
Will Leavitt say "Democrat Shutdown" during the next White House Press Briefing?
Ends Mar 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.53
Yes position
Will Trump say "Peanut" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.25
Yes position
Will Trump say "Soleimani" during Taoiseach events?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.12
Magic position
Spread: Magic (-15.5)
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.6
No position
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.41
Down position
XRP Up or Down - February 21, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.31
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ass" or "Shit" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.11
Yes position
Will Trump say "Drone" during events with Japanese PM?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?Yes 40% 63.28 shares
- Will Carolina Panthers draft Ty Simpson in the 2026 pro football draft?Yes 1.1% 29.01 shares
- Will Miami Dolphins draft Ty Simpson in the 2026 pro football draft?Yes 0.1% 17.34 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETUp 97% 4.98 shares
- Will San Francisco 49ers draft Ty Simpson in the 2026 pro football draft?Yes 2% 14 shares
- Will Kansas City Chiefs draft Ty Simpson in the 2026 pro football draft?Yes 2% 14.02 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 80.8% 5 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes 38% 10 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes 39% 5 shares
- Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes 39% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on April 14?Yes 2.6% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 14?Yes 0.3% 25 shares