N
No position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $8.76
- Potential payout
- $196.88
- Potential profit
- $188.12
- Multiplier
- 22.47x
- User PnL
- -$166.07
Polymarket Trader
jrtjhhjft
0x5d13473dc7c00a60d11d63d701b7451e98d4c36c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $8.76
- Realized PnL
- $25.42
- Win rate
- 56.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.14
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.66
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.09
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.89
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.22
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26.51
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?No 88.8% 196.88 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 88% 170.2 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?No 87% 166.64 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No 84% 144.98 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 98.5% 45.26 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?No 99.6% 77.48 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?No 96.9% 77.48 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 96.9% 45.26 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 97.6% 44.94 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 96.7% 89.9 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes 96% 30.4 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes 98.2% 29.19 shares