Polymarket Trader

frec

0x5d2379e160cbb0c809de2efb949932199f72622f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $187.34
Realized PnL: $854.97
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $187.34
Potential payout: $22.04K
Potential profit: $21.85K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$4.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $491.04

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.4

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $110.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.27

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.73

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.47

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.46

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.9% 22,040.11 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

No 0.1% 208,685 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

No 0.2% 58,685 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

No 0.2% 150,000 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 91% 472.96 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Up 69% 2.03 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET

Up 56% 2.21 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Up 73% 2.32 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET

Down 78% 2.19 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Down 77% 1.84 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET

Down 90% 2.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET

Up 41% 3.12 shares