No position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $840.91
- Potential payout
- $4.55K
- Potential profit
- $3.7K
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$159.09
Polymarket Trader
MikeMoore
0x5d2f49295387e01a49f0a3e59449ceed791c4adb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $14.78K
- Realized PnL
- $26.29K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $1.07K
- Potential payout
- $3.45K
- Potential profit
- $2.38K
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $68.27
Yes position
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.47K
- Potential profit
- $2.47K
- User PnL
- -$2K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.3%
- Current value
- $1.55K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $454
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $906
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.81K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $190
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.81K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $190
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $709.99
Marta Kostyuk position
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.79K
- Potential profit
- $1.79K
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.7K
- User PnL
- -$984.72
Y
Yes position
Will New Zealand finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $974.58
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $720.34
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$25.42
Y
Yes position
Will Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $1.42K
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $271.19
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $423.73
Yes position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.49K
- Potential profit
- $1.49K
- User PnL
- -$1K
No position
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 33%
- Current value
- $438.28
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $889.83
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- -$151.11
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Current value
- $993.51
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $305.19
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- -$6.49
No position
Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $1.09K
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $141.98
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $92.59
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.1%
- Current value
- $930.61
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $80.37
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $81.27
Ronaldo position
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $75
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $925
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$345
No position
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Current value
- $675
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $325
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $95
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $934.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $65.5
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $234.5
Yes position
Will a player representing Portugal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $30.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $969.5
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$19.5
Yes position
Will a player representing Netherlands be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $7
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $992.99
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$18
No position
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will a player representing Brazil be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Current value
- $44
- Potential payout
- $999.97
- Potential profit
- $955.97
- Multiplier
- 22.73x
- User PnL
- -$46
Up position
HYPE Up or Down on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $995
- Potential profit
- $995
- User PnL
- -$497.5
Yes position
Will a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $89.26
- Potential payout
- $939.62
- Potential profit
- $850.36
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $32.89
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3K
No position
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.12K
No position
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
No position
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52K
$80k position
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
No position
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by August 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
No position
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Elina Svitolina position
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolina
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
No position
Will Russia capture Stepanivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
Alexander Zverev position
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $894.88
No position
Israel x Syria security deal before September?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $891.49
Yes position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $855.59
Yes position
Will the fight go the distance?
Ends Dec 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $754.39
No position
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $711.91
No position
Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $684.4
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $669.78
No position
Will Russia recapture Sudzha before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $660.75
No position
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $583.59
Yes position
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $555.68
No position
Will Russia capture Dorozhnje by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $552.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Scotland be the highest-scoring team in Group C during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 90% 111.07 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 77% 1,298.7 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 29% 3,446.02 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.7% 1,000 shares
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 44.4% 1,328.11 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No 85% 11.01 shares
- Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in June?No 4.7% 400 shares
- Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?Yes 67% 1,492.54 shares
- Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?Yes 58% 1,697.79 shares
- Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?Yes 64% 1,562.5 shares
- Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 81% 1,234.57 shares
- Will New Zealand finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Yes 59% 1,694.92 shares