Yes position
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $363.18
- Potential payout
- $16.97K
- Potential profit
- $16.61K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$126.2
Polymarket Trader
datperson
0x5d2f7bccc1e4ca204ade22ff193d2759ca6324de
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.97K
- Realized PnL
- $5.9K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $11.91K
- Potential profit
- $10.78K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $100.72
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $292.3
- Potential payout
- $5.27K
- Potential profit
- $4.97K
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$6.69
Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.1%
- Current value
- $362
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $3.64K
- Multiplier
- 11.05x
- User PnL
- -$198
Yes position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $27.83
- Potential payout
- $3.48K
- Potential profit
- $3.45K
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$669.45
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $449.78
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $2.88K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$216.56
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.91K
- Potential profit
- $2.91K
- User PnL
- -$1.04K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $1.81K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $190
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $970
Yes position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $195.5
- Potential payout
- $1.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$418.5
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.03K
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $72.05
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $48.95
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $814.9
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $185.1
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $84.9
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $633.5
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $66.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $283.5
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 62.2%
- Current value
- $406.54
- Potential payout
- $653.59
- Potential profit
- $247.06
- Multiplier
- 1.61x
- User PnL
- $6.54
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $258
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $342
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- $36
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $308.99
- Potential payout
- $599.99
- Potential profit
- $291
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $3
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$135
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17.2%
- Current value
- $82.49
- Potential payout
- $478.48
- Potential profit
- $395.99
- Multiplier
- 5.80x
- User PnL
- -$17.99
No position
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 66%
- Current value
- $312
- Potential payout
- $472.72
- Potential profit
- $160.72
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- $122.91
Yes position
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 17, 2027- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $289.26
- Potential payout
- $413.23
- Potential profit
- $123.97
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $5.26
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $362
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $38
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $78
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $64.58
- Potential payout
- $350
- Potential profit
- $285.43
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- -$61.43
No position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.7%
- Current value
- $299.52
- Potential payout
- $316.45
- Potential profit
- $16.93
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $49.52
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $286.8
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $13.2
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $64.8
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $187.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $112.5
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $73.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $655.69
No position
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $522.9
No position
The Bondi Parlay (Feb 27)
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $444.55
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $407.03
Yes position
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360
No position
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $351.35
Yes position
Israel strikes Gaza by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.25
Yes position
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.36
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.3
No position
Tech Release Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.4
Yes position
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $138.56
No position
X Money launch in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.34
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: World Leader Out Edition
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.9
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
Yes position
Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.23
Yes position
French election called by October 10?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $63.37
No position
Will Chuck Schumer endorse Mamdani?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.23
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $62.83
Yes position
Israel strikes Gaza by October 24?
Ends Oct 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.1
No position
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.22
No position
The Bondi Parlay (Feb 20)
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.7
Yes position
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 68% 363.23 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 4.8% 2,083.33 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 4.8% 2,083.33 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 99.9% 600 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 27% 499.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?No 36% 2,500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?No 35% 410.35 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 24.2% 44.86 shares
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 22% 500 shares
- Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No 81% 62 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No 20% 3,331.67 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 25% 500 shares