Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$3
Polymarket Trader
Grefff
0x5d3c957d3512632a6818e0e7246b640a281a5467
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $37.2
- Realized PnL
- $2.1K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times May 16–23?
Ends May 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.52K
- Potential profit
- $1.52K
- User PnL
- -$79.77
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- -$5.4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $537.71
- Potential profit
- $537.71
- User PnL
- -$7.82
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.01
- Potential profit
- $299.01
- User PnL
- -$29.53
Hornets position
Knicks vs. Hornets
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Current value
- $23.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $76.55
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $13.45
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 16–23?
Ends May 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.25
- Potential profit
- $62.25
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Flames position
Flames vs. Lightning
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $55
- User PnL
- -$20.9
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.99
- Potential profit
- $54.99
- User PnL
- -$2.93
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $8.82
- Potential payout
- $36
- Potential profit
- $27.18
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $3.06
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $4.38
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $30.63
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.58
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $0.55
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $29.45
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$2.75
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $22
- User PnL
- -$5.28
Bucks position
Bucks vs. Heat
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $16
- User PnL
- -$4.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $955.94
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $325.34
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $91.76
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 600-649 times Feb 14-21?
Ends Feb 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $70
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $64.87
Predators position
Predators vs. Bruins
Ends Mar 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.3
Hawks position
Hawks vs. Grizzlies
Ends Mar 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.5
Celtics position
Pistons vs. Celtics
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.56
Canadiens position
Ducks vs. Canadiens
Ends Dec 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.38
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $35.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.14
Hawks position
Hawks vs. Bucks
Ends Dec 12, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.28
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.25
No position
Bitcoin above $100,000 on November 29?
Ends Nov 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.65
Bruins position
Bruins vs. Islanders
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.96
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?
Ends Nov 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.13
Pacers position
Rockets vs. Pacers
Ends Mar 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.87
Trail Blazers position
Trail Blazers vs. 76ers
Ends Mar 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.62
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.31
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.93
100k position
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.55
Cavaliers position
Cavaliers vs. Hornets
Ends Dec 14, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.82
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 5% 20 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 19% 20 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 17% 35 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 16% 36 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?Yes 10% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 1.1% 100 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 1.4% 154.81 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 1% 262.9 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 99.7% 25 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 10% 20 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 27% 50 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 18% 75 shares