Polymarket Trader

Kaikai8

0x5d3d28e6d2b51a43ada697c92fcf311226a152cb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $145.88
Realized PnL: $243.56
Win rate: 77.8%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $89.31
Potential payout: $729.07
Potential profit: $639.76
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: $11.97

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $430.04
Potential profit: $430.04
User PnL: -$166.4

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $6.52
Potential payout: $271.78
Potential profit: $265.26
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$5.48

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $16.98
Potential payout: $123.46
Potential profit: $106.48
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$3.02

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $121.95
Potential profit: $121.95
User PnL: -$50

Derrick Lewis position

UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $8.59
Potential payout: $50.5
Potential profit: $41.92
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$1.41

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $1.13
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $48.88
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Argentina be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $10.1
Potential payout: $45.91
Potential profit: $35.81
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $5.35
Potential payout: $38.48
Potential profit: $33.13
Multiplier: 7.19x
User PnL: $0.35

Ilia Topuria position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.9
Potential profit: $36.9
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will there be 10+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $4.55
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $25.76
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$5.45

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.6
Potential profit: $19.6
User PnL: -$1.96

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 21.1%
Current value: $3.36
Potential payout: $15.98
Potential profit: $12.62
Multiplier: 4.75x
User PnL: -$0.54

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.52
Potential profit: $9.52
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.81
Potential profit: $8.81
User PnL: -$1.85

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.11
Potential profit: $8.11
User PnL: -$1.54

Yes position

Ecuador to score first vs. Côte d'Ivoire?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.24
Potential profit: $6.24
User PnL: -$3.12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $2.27
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Over position

O/U 1.5 Rounds

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $123.09

Yes position

Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.22

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.17

Sean OMalley position

UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.68

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.9%
Multiplier: 7.78x
User PnL: $0.72

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.1%
Multiplier: 12.42x
User PnL: -$0.74

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.9% 354.77 shares
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 24.4% 15.98 shares
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 10% 19.6 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 19% 8.11 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.5% 249.3 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.4% 164.38 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.5% 102.27 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10% 92.59 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.4% 103.09 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 71% 37.49 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?

Yes 1.6% 128.92 shares
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 21% 8.81 shares