Polymarket Trader

polybettor

0x5d5e32dc9a054f4e4da123353dded3e2ac379a5e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.42K
Realized PnL: $11.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $41.5
Potential payout: $5.53K
Potential profit: $5.49K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$76.94

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $51.59
Potential payout: $3.82K
Potential profit: $3.77K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$78.23

No position

Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $895.68
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $170.6
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $184.8

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.9%
Current value: $143.1
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $756.9
Multiplier: 6.29x
User PnL: $9.98

No position

Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $257.99
Potential payout: $526.5
Potential profit: $268.52
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: -$98.22

No position

Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $459.63
Potential payout: $467.82
Potential profit: $8.19
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $52.66

No position

Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $341.45
Potential payout: $347.18
Potential profit: $5.73
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $32.61

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 24.1%
Current value: $72.29
Potential payout: $299.96
Potential profit: $227.67
Multiplier: 4.15x
User PnL: -$9.8

No position

Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $259.72
Potential payout: $265.43
Potential profit: $5.71
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $8.47

No position

Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $215.8
Potential payout: $260
Potential profit: $44.2
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $102.15
Potential payout: $258.62
Potential profit: $156.46
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$27.67

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $173.95
Potential payout: $257.71
Potential profit: $83.76
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$9.31

Yes position

Megaquake by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $12.5
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $237.5
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$43.5

No position

McDonald's CEO out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $203.91
Potential payout: $207.97
Potential profit: $4.06
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $19.58

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $35.05
Potential payout: $200.28
Potential profit: $165.23
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$13.62

No position

LA Mayoral Election: Recount of 1st Round?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $191
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $9
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $49.5
Potential payout: $180
Potential profit: $130.5
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$20.7

No position

Will Trump say "White House" during UFC 250?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $173.62
Potential payout: $178.99
Potential profit: $5.37
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$1.65

No position

Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $169
Potential payout: $170.02
Potential profit: $1.02
User PnL: $12.58

No position

Will Trump say "UFC" this week?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 54.7%
Current value: $85.77
Potential payout: $156.95
Potential profit: $71.18
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$67.91

No position

Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $146.26
Potential payout: $152.91
Potential profit: $6.65
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $79.03

No position

Will Trump say “Thank You” 5+ times during UFC 250?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $140.9
Potential payout: $144
Potential profit: $3.1
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$1.4

No position

Will Trump attend 3 or more World Cup matches?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $124.95
Potential payout: $141.99
Potential profit: $17.04
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $25.58

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $74.19
Potential payout: $139.98
Potential profit: $65.79
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: -$13.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Dell say "xAI" during earnings call?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7K

No position

Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.34K

No position

Will Trump's remarks not air?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $971.95

No position

Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $672.35

Yes position

Will Trump say "Dumbocrat" during Bret Baier interview?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $600.62

Yes position

Will anyone be kicked out of the WHCA Dinner?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $528.55

Yes position

Will Jason Perry win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $521.22

No position

Will "Trump" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 6)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $488.1

Yes position

Will Leonardo DiCaprio attend the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $441.36

Yes position

Will Trump say "Hell" 6+ times during Cabinet meeting on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $397.14

No position

Will the White House Press Secretary say "CDC" or "WHO" during the next White House Press Briefing?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $376.26

Ansem position

Ansem vs. Bitboy - Crypto Fight Night

Ends Dec 5, 2024

Implied probability: 50%
Multiplier: 2.00x
User PnL: $340.85

No position

Trump kiss by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $332.05

No position

Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $315.41

No position

Iran leadership change by March 13?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $310.38

Yes position

Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $304.11

No position

NCAA Tournament: No. 16 seed to pull off an upset?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $296.86

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $290.97

Yes position

Will "Left" be said during the next episode of the Lemonade Stand Podcast?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $273.5

Yes position

Will Trump say "Life" 13+ times during Coast Guard event?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $269.57

No position

Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 10+ times during Cabinet meeting on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $240.52

No position

Will Coinbase be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.98

Yes position

Will "President" be said at the Oscars?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.08

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.31

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump say "Greatest" during UFC 250?

Yes 42.9% 56.4 shares
Will Trump say "Greatest" during UFC 250?

Yes 40% 20 shares
Will Trump say "Star" this week?

No 98.9% 61.18 shares
Will Trump say "Star" this week?

No 92.5% 11.23 shares
Will Algeria go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

No 86.8% 50 shares
Will Trump say "UFC" this week?

No 95% 26.64 shares
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?

No 50% 50 shares
Will Trump say "Star" this week?

No 96.7% 100.94 shares
Will Trump say "Star" this week?

No 96% 42.89 shares
Will Trump say "UFC" this week?

No 98.4% 100.31 shares
Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?

No 97.9% 44.51 shares
Will Trump say "Fight" during UFC 250?

No 3.5% 91.71 shares